Garuda Lions
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Austria Cup · Full time ·Round of 32

Voitsberg vs Sturm Graz

1 – 4 Full time

15′N. Weiper
28′P. Scheucher
43′A. Malic
46′A. RadicsD. Goriupp
47′J. Gorenc Stankovic
60′N. WeiperG. Mamageishvili
60′B. BeganovicS. Jatta
66′S. Seidl
70′G. Mamageishvili
71′F. SchubertM. Krienzer
72′J. QuarshieP. Petrovic
72′S. SeidlV. Matoshi
77′J. Gorenc StankovicO. Kiteishvili
78′K. StratznigJ. Schriebl
78′M. PolsterE. Neubauer
83′E. Neubauer
84′J. Schriebl
86′L. Zivanovic
86′P. JagerC. Wolbl
87′O. Kiteishvili

Munzer Bioindustrie Sportpark Voitsberg, Voitsberg

Voitsberg 14%
Draw 20%
Sturm Graz 66%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Voitsberg vs Sturm Graz overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Voitsberg vs Sturm Graz

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityVoitsbergDrawSturm Graz
Model11.2%20.1%68.8%
Market14.4%20.2%65.5%
Final13.6%20.1%66.3%
Edge-3.2%-0.1%+3.3%

Confidence: Low

Why Sturm Graz

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.21 vs 0.79.
  • The market prices Sturm Graz below the model: +3.3 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Voitsberg ↓ / Sturm Graz → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 12% 9% 8% 1 10% 10% 7% 7% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 81%
3+ goals 58%
No goals 6%

Voitsberg and Sturm Graz expected goals

Voitsberg 0.79
Sturm Graz 2.21

Total expected goals: 3.00

Voitsberg and Sturm Graz attack and defence ratings

Voitsberg

Attack 1.03 +3%
Defence 1.07 +7%

Sturm Graz

Attack 0.80 -20%
Defence 0.64 -36%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Voitsberg vs Sturm Graz: result vs prediction

Voitsberg 1 – 4 Sturm Graz

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Round of 32 fixtures

Austria Cup

Before and after this match

Voitsberg vs Sturm Graz markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Sturm Graz 66.3% 1.51 +3.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 57.8% 1.73 — —
Both teams to score No 50.3% 1.99 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 86.4% 1.16 — —
Handicap -1 Sturm Graz win 45.9% 2.18 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Voitsberg13.6%
Draw20.1%
Sturm Graz66.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.557.8%
Under 2.542.2%
Both teams to scoreYes49.7%
No50.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)33.7%
12 (either side)79.9%
X2 (draw or away)86.4%
Handicap -1Sturm Graz win45.9%
Push (exactly one goal)23.0%
Loss31.2%
Correct score (top 3)0-212.1%
0-110.1%
1-29.6%

Voitsberg vs Sturm Graz stats

Voitsberg and Sturm Graz recent form

newest first
Voitsberg LLDWDW
Sturm Graz LDWLWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Voitsberg vs Sturm Graz head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

0Voitsberg wins 1Draws 2Sturm Graz wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-07-19VoitsbergSturm GrazFriendlies Clubs0-3
2025-03-21Sturm GrazVoitsbergFriendlies Clubs1-1
2022-06-25VoitsbergSturm GrazFriendlies Clubs0-11

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Voitsberg vs Sturm Graz odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 13.9%, draw 20.0%, away 66.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 6.69 4.50 1.37
Bet365 6.50 5.50 1.36
BetVictor 5.50 3.80 1.33
Dafabet 7.40 6.80 1.27
Marathonbet 6.45 4.50 1.36
Pinnacle 5.86 4.36 1.38
Superbet 7.10 6.60 1.27
William Hill 6.00 4.00 1.40

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 6.22 ▼ -0.94
X 4.43 ▼ -2.07
2 1.37 ▲ +0.10

5 snapshots recorded, from .