Garuda Lions
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Austria Cup · Full time ·Round of 32

FC BW Linz vs Wacker Innsbruck

2 – 3 Full time

6′D. Kreiker
20′R. Vucic
56′F. Kopp
56′R. LittigQ. Rackl
56′A. RodriguezY. Guermouche
66′G. BiancheriR. Tekir
66′M. EvansA. Lechl
69′J. MayerN. Grimbs
69′F. RuschkeT. Schiestl
73′Y. Guermouche
77′L. Gstrein
82′L. GstreinB. Owusu
86′R. Tekir
88′B. Owusu
89′K. ConteF. Ristanic

Hofmann Personal Stadion, Linz

FC BW Linz 52%
Draw 24%
Wacker Innsbruck 24%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

FC BW Linz vs Wacker Innsbruck overview

Garuda Lions analysis: FC BW Linz vs Wacker Innsbruck

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFC BW LinzDrawWacker Innsbruck
Model25.7%30.8%43.5%
Market61.0%21.5%17.5%
Final52.1%23.8%24.0%
Edge-35.3%+9.3%+26.0%

Confidence: Low

Why FC BW Linz

  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

FC BW Linz ↓ / Wacker Innsbru → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 12% 13% 9% 1 9% 14% 8% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 88%
2+ goals 67%
3+ goals 39%
No goals 12%

FC BW Linz and Wacker Innsbruck expected goals

FC BW Linz 0.93
Wacker Innsbruck 1.30

Total expected goals: 2.24

FC BW Linz and Wacker Innsbruck attack and defence ratings

FC BW Linz

Attack 1.11 +11%
Defence 0.62 -38%

Wacker Innsbruck

Attack 0.82 -18%
Defence 0.70 -30%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

FC BW Linz vs Wacker Innsbruck: result vs prediction

FC BW Linz 2 – 3 Wacker Innsbruck

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Round of 32 fixtures

Austria Cup

Before and after this match

FC BW Linz vs Wacker Innsbruck markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 FC BW Linz 52.1% 1.92 -35.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 61.2% 1.63 — —
Both teams to score No 54.4% 1.84 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 76.2% 1.31 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 74.5% 1.34 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2FC BW Linz52.1%
Draw23.8%
Wacker Innsbruck24.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.538.8%
Under 2.561.2%
Both teams to scoreYes45.6%
No54.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)76.0%
12 (either side)76.2%
X2 (draw or away)47.9%
Handicap -1FC BW Linz win9.3%
Push (exactly one goal)16.1%
Loss74.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.3%
0-112.5%
0-011.9%

FC BW Linz vs Wacker Innsbruck stats

FC BW Linz and Wacker Innsbruck recent form

newest first
FC BW Linz LWWWWW
Wacker Innsbruck LWWLWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

FC BW Linz vs Wacker Innsbruck head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

6FC BW Linz wins 0Draws 4Wacker Innsbruck wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-07FC BW LinzWacker Innsbruck2. Liga3-0
2022-04-18FC BW LinzWacker Innsbruck2. Liga3-0
2021-10-03Wacker InnsbruckFC BW Linz2. Liga0-1
2021-04-05FC BW LinzWacker Innsbruck2. Liga2-1
2020-10-23Wacker InnsbruckFC BW Linz2. Liga0-4
2020-06-14Wacker InnsbruckFC BW Linz2. Liga2-0
2019-08-30FC BW LinzWacker Innsbruck2. Liga1-0
2018-04-13Wacker InnsbruckFC BW Linz2. Liga4-0
2017-11-24FC BW LinzWacker Innsbruck2. Liga1-2
2017-09-12Wacker InnsbruckFC BW Linz2. Liga3-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

FC BW Linz vs Wacker Innsbruck odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 60.0%, draw 21.9%, away 18.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.47 4.15 5.59
Bet365 1.60 4.00 5.00
BetVictor 1.44 3.60 4.33
Dafabet 1.69 4.00 4.40
Marathonbet 1.46 4.15 5.40
Pinnacle 1.44 4.16 5.20
Superbet 1.70 3.90 4.35
William Hill 1.50 4.20 4.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.46 ▼ -0.22
X 4.15 ▲ +0.25
2 5.10 ▲ +0.83

5 snapshots recorded, from .