2. Liga · Full time ·Matchday 6

FC BW Linz vs WSPG Wels

4 – 1 Full time

21′S. Malinowski
29′K. Conte
46′K. ConteE. Weinhauer
46′D. KreikerD. Madritsch
46′F. StraussD. Riegler
48′N. Freund
61′D. Riegler
62′N. FreundP. Muller
63′P. Muller
72′R. VucicJ. Collmann
72′C. WernitznigY. Mankan
72′M. BruggerI. Drammeh
73′J. Mayer
74′Ronivaldo
77′A. Tsarenko
79′S. HaudumS. Feyrer
86′E. Weinhauer
90′A. TsarenkoN. Grimbs

Hofmann Personal Stadion, LinzReferee: J. Semler

FC BW Linz 65%
Draw 20%
WSPG Wels 15%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

FC BW Linz vs WSPG Wels overview

Garuda Lions analysis: FC BW Linz vs WSPG Wels

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFC BW LinzDrawWSPG Wels
Model58.0%22.5%19.5%
Market66.8%19.4%13.8%
Final64.6%20.2%15.2%
Edge-8.8%+3.1%+5.7%

Confidence: Low

Why FC BW Linz

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.11 vs 1.16.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

FC BW Linz ↓ / WSPG Wels → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 10% 5% 2 8% 10% 6% 3 6% 7% 4+ 6%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 85%
3+ goals 63%
No goals 5%

FC BW Linz and WSPG Wels expected goals

FC BW Linz 2.11
WSPG Wels 1.16

Total expected goals: 3.27

FC BW Linz and WSPG Wels attack and defence ratings

FC BW Linz

Attack 1.41 +41%
Defence 0.88 -12%

WSPG Wels

Attack 1.02 +2%
Defence 1.01 +1%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

FC BW Linz vs WSPG Wels: result vs prediction

FC BW Linz 4 – 1 WSPG Wels

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

2. Liga

Before and after this match

FC BW Linz vs WSPG Wels markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 FC BW Linz 64.6% 1.55 -8.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 63.5% 1.57 — —
Both teams to score Yes 61.4% 1.63 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 84.8% 1.18 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 41.8% 2.39 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2FC BW Linz64.6%
Draw20.2%
WSPG Wels15.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.563.5%
Under 2.536.5%
Both teams to scoreYes61.4%
No38.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)84.8%
12 (either side)79.8%
X2 (draw or away)35.4%
Handicap -1FC BW Linz win36.3%
Push (exactly one goal)21.8%
Loss41.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.2%
2-19.8%
2-08.4%

FC BW Linz vs WSPG Wels stats

FC BW Linz and WSPG Wels recent form

newest first
FC BW Linz LLWWWW
WSPG Wels WLDLWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

FC BW Linz and WSPG Wels going into this match

league record before kick-off

FC BW Linz record

  • They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.

WSPG Wels record

  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

FC BW Linz vs WSPG Wels head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

1FC BW Linz wins 1Draws 0WSPG Wels wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-01-10WSPG WelsFC BW LinzFriendlies Clubs2-2
2024-08-28WSPG WelsFC BW LinzCup0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

FC BW Linz vs WSPG Wels odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 66.8%, draw 19.3%, away 13.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.39 4.85 6.77
Bet365 1.40 4.75 6.00
BetVictor 1.36 4.75 7.00
Betano 1.42 4.75 6.20
Betfair 1.30 4.75 7.00
Marathonbet 1.37 4.90 6.90
Pinnacle 1.40 5.18 6.59
SBO 1.36 4.44 6.18
William Hill 1.36 4.60 6.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.38 ▲ +0.01
X 4.75 ▼ -0.15
2 6.68 ▲ +0.15

15 snapshots recorded, from .