WSPG Wels
vs
First Vienna
1 – 3 Full time
| 20′ | O. Kregar | ||
| 29′ | B. ZimmermannY. Soukouna | ||
| 47′ | O. Kregar | ||
| 54′ | Y. Soukouna | ||
| 57′ | M. Gantschnig | ||
| 60′ | M. BruggerM. Thurnwald | ||
| 60′ | N. FreundI. Drammeh | ||
| 62′ | M. Fillafer | ||
| 63′ | T. AnselmI. Jung | ||
| 63′ | B. RosenbergerP. Breit | ||
| 71′ | B. Luxbacher | ||
| 76′ | R. Marte | ||
| 77′ | M. FillaferL. Edelhofer | ||
| 77′ | B. LuxbacherF. Mrzljak | ||
| 88′ | C. WernitznigY. Mankan | ||
| 88′ | K. SchrockerM. Schrenk | ||
| 90′ | T. Sahin |
WSPG Wels vs First Vienna overview
Garuda Lions analysis: WSPG Wels vs First Vienna
| Probability | WSPG Wels | Draw | First Vienna |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 15.0% | 24.5% | 60.5% |
| Market | 22.9% | 27.0% | 50.1% |
| Final | 20.9% | 26.3% | 52.7% |
| Edge | -7.9% | -2.5% | +10.4% |
Why First Vienna
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.83 vs 0.81.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices First Vienna below the model: +10.4 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
WSPG Wels and First Vienna expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.64
WSPG Wels and First Vienna attack and defence ratings
WSPG Wels
First Vienna
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
WSPG Wels vs First Vienna: result vs prediction
WSPG Wels 1 – 3 First Vienna
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
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Before and after this match
WSPG Wels vs First Vienna markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | First Vienna | 52.7% | 1.90 | +10.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 50.9% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.4% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 79.1% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 39.5% | 2.53 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | WSPG Wels | 20.9% |
| Draw | 26.3% | |
| First Vienna | 52.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 50.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.6% |
| No | 52.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 47.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 79.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | First Vienna win | 36.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.4% | |
| Loss | 39.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 12.0% |
| 0-2 | 12.0% | |
| 1-1 | 11.6% |
WSPG Wels vs First Vienna stats
WSPG Wels and First Vienna recent form
| WSPG Wels |
LWLDLW |
| First Vienna |
WWWWDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
WSPG Wels and First Vienna going into this match
WSPG Wels record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 0.7 at home.
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
First Vienna record
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 6 matches.
WSPG Wels vs First Vienna head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | First Vienna | WSPG Wels | 2. Liga | 1-0 |
| 2025-11-07 | WSPG Wels | First Vienna | 2. Liga | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
WSPG Wels vs First Vienna odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 22.9%, draw 27.0%, away 50.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.16 | 3.40 | 1.84 |
| Bet365 | 4.00 | 3.40 | 1.83 |
| BetVictor | 3.90 | 3.40 | 1.85 |
| Betano | 4.00 | 3.40 | 1.87 |
| Betfair | 4.20 | 3.30 | 1.75 |
| Marathonbet | 4.10 | 3.38 | 1.83 |
| Pinnacle | 4.66 | 3.62 | 1.78 |
| SBO | 3.45 | 3.06 | 1.95 |
| William Hill | 3.90 | 3.25 | 1.83 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .