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2. Liga · Full time ·Matchday 7

SV Kapfenberg vs SKU Amstetten

3 – 4 Full time

5′B. Heuser
13′M. Miskovic
30′D. Peham
42′A. Haider
55′A. Sokcevic
59′R. Zlibanovic
66′J. RostasF. Stauder
66′J. SteigerT. Mayer
66′V. AugustusP. Lipczinski
76′D. Peham
77′A. SokcevicL. Coco
84′A. MarinovicF. Krautler
86′Y. VotterL. Lanthaler
87′P. Offenthaler
90′E. Ojukwu
90′A. HaiderF. Schonegger

Alpenstadion, KapfenbergReferee: A. Sadikovski

SV Kapfenberg 20%
Draw 23%
SKU Amstetten 58%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

SV Kapfenberg vs SKU Amstetten overview

Garuda Lions analysis: SV Kapfenberg vs SKU Amstetten

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySV KapfenbergDrawSKU Amstetten
Model26.7%26.8%46.6%
Market17.7%21.1%61.2%
Final19.9%22.5%57.6%
Edge+9.0%+5.6%-14.7%

Confidence: Low

Why SKU Amstetten

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.64 vs 1.19.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

SV Kapfenberg ↓ / SKU Amstetten → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 9% 8% 1 13% 9% 2 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 79%
3+ goals 54%
No goals 7%

SV Kapfenberg and SKU Amstetten expected goals

SV Kapfenberg 1.19
SKU Amstetten 1.64

Total expected goals: 2.83

SV Kapfenberg and SKU Amstetten attack and defence ratings

SV Kapfenberg

Attack 0.81 -19%
Defence 1.22 +22%

SKU Amstetten

Attack 1.04 +4%
Defence 0.99 -1%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

SV Kapfenberg vs SKU Amstetten: result vs prediction

SV Kapfenberg 3 – 4 SKU Amstetten

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

2. Liga

Before and after this match

SV Kapfenberg vs SKU Amstetten markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 SKU Amstetten 57.6% 1.74 -14.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 53.7% 1.86 — —
Both teams to score Yes 57.2% 1.75 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 80.1% 1.25 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 53.4% 1.87 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2SV Kapfenberg19.9%
Draw22.5%
SKU Amstetten57.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.553.7%
Under 2.546.3%
Both teams to scoreYes57.2%
No42.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)42.4%
12 (either side)77.5%
X2 (draw or away)80.1%
Handicap -1SKU Amstetten win25.0%
Push (exactly one goal)21.6%
Loss53.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.7%
1-29.4%
0-18.5%

SV Kapfenberg vs SKU Amstetten stats

SV Kapfenberg and SKU Amstetten recent form

newest first
SV Kapfenberg LLWLLL
SKU Amstetten WLDDWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

SV Kapfenberg and SKU Amstetten going into this match

league record before kick-off

SV Kapfenberg record

  • They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.3 goals per game on the road against 0.7 at home.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.

SKU Amstetten record

  • They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.

SV Kapfenberg vs SKU Amstetten head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2SV Kapfenberg wins 3Draws 5SKU Amstetten wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-22SV KapfenbergSKU Amstetten2. Liga0-0
2025-09-21SKU AmstettenSV Kapfenberg2. Liga3-0
2025-04-18SV KapfenbergSKU Amstetten2. Liga3-2
2024-10-04SKU AmstettenSV Kapfenberg2. Liga3-0
2024-05-12SV KapfenbergSKU Amstetten2. Liga4-2
2023-10-27SKU AmstettenSV Kapfenberg2. Liga1-1
2023-04-07SV KapfenbergSKU Amstetten2. Liga1-1
2022-07-22SKU AmstettenSV Kapfenberg2. Liga3-0
2022-04-18SV KapfenbergSKU Amstetten2. Liga0-2
2021-10-01SKU AmstettenSV Kapfenberg2. Liga3-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

SV Kapfenberg vs SKU Amstetten odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 17.7%, draw 21.1%, away 61.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 5.26 4.50 1.50
Bet365 4.75 4.20 1.53
BetVictor 5.25 4.33 1.50
Betano 5.10 4.35 1.53
Betfair 5.00 4.40 1.44
Marathonbet 5.20 4.50 1.49
Pinnacle 5.31 4.91 1.51
SBO 5.22 4.08 1.45
William Hill 4.80 4.20 1.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 5.20 ▲ +1.37
X 4.35 ▲ +0.47
2 1.50 ▼ -0.27

14 snapshots recorded, from .