Garuda Lions
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2. Liga · Full time ·Matchday 8

SKU Amstetten vs FC BW Linz

1 – 1 Full time

Ertl Glas Stadion, AmstettenReferee: A. Harkam

SKU Amstetten 30%
Draw 25%
FC BW Linz 45%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

SKU Amstetten vs FC BW Linz overview

Garuda Lions analysis: SKU Amstetten vs FC BW Linz

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySKU AmstettenDrawFC BW Linz
Model24.5%22.1%53.4%
Market31.8%25.5%42.7%
Final30.0%24.7%45.4%
Edge-7.2%-3.4%+10.7%

Confidence: Low

Why FC BW Linz

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.19 vs 1.46.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
  • The market prices FC BW Linz below the model: +10.7 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

SKU Amstetten ↓ / FC BW Linz → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 5% 6% 1 9% 9% 7% 6% 2 6% 7% 5% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 89%
3+ goals 71%
No goals 3%

SKU Amstetten and FC BW Linz expected goals

SKU Amstetten 1.46
FC BW Linz 2.19

Total expected goals: 3.66

SKU Amstetten and FC BW Linz attack and defence ratings

SKU Amstetten

Attack 1.22 +22%
Defence 1.11 +11%

FC BW Linz

Attack 1.53 +53%
Defence 0.79 -21%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

SKU Amstetten vs FC BW Linz: result vs prediction

SKU Amstetten 1 – 1 FC BW Linz

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

2. Liga

Before and after this match

SKU Amstetten vs FC BW Linz markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 FC BW Linz 45.4% 2.20 +10.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 70.8% 1.41 — —
Both teams to score Yes 69.1% 1.45 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 75.3% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 46.6% 2.14 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2SKU Amstetten30.0%
Draw24.7%
FC BW Linz45.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.570.8%
Under 2.529.2%
Both teams to scoreYes69.1%
No30.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)54.6%
12 (either side)75.3%
X2 (draw or away)70.0%
Handicap -1FC BW Linz win33.1%
Push (exactly one goal)20.3%
Loss46.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-19.1%
1-29.1%
2-26.7%

SKU Amstetten vs FC BW Linz stats

SKU Amstetten and FC BW Linz recent form

newest first
SKU Amstetten WWLDDW
FC BW Linz WWLLWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

SKU Amstetten and FC BW Linz going into this match

league record before kick-off

SKU Amstetten record

  • They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.

FC BW Linz record

  • They have won 6 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.9 goals per match.
  • They average 3.8 goals per game at home against 1.7 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

SKU Amstetten vs FC BW Linz head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3SKU Amstetten wins 1Draws 6FC BW Linz wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-01-15FC BW LinzSKU AmstettenFriendlies Clubs2-0
2023-07-08SKU AmstettenFC BW LinzFriendlies Clubs1-1
2023-03-19FC BW LinzSKU Amstetten2. Liga2-1
2022-09-03SKU AmstettenFC BW Linz2. Liga1-0
2022-08-31SKU AmstettenFC BW LinzCup0-3
2022-04-08FC BW LinzSKU Amstetten2. Liga5-2
2021-09-17SKU AmstettenFC BW Linz2. Liga1-0
2021-04-20SKU AmstettenFC BW Linz2. Liga0-2
2020-09-29FC BW LinzSKU Amstetten2. Liga2-0
2020-07-21FC BW LinzSKU Amstetten2. Liga1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

SKU Amstetten vs FC BW Linz odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 31.8%, draw 25.5%, away 42.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.90 3.65 2.17
Bet365 2.88 3.60 2.15
BetVictor 2.88 3.60 2.15
Betano 3.00 3.45 2.20
Betfair 2.80 3.60 2.10
Dafabet 2.90 3.65 2.23
Marathonbet 2.88 3.65 2.15
Pinnacle 3.07 3.73 2.19
SBO 2.78 3.39 2.10
William Hill 2.90 3.30 2.15

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.89 ▼ -0.73
X 3.60 ▼ -0.15
2 2.15 ▲ +0.30

14 snapshots recorded, from .