2. Liga Β· Β·Matchday 8

Rapid Wien II vs Wacker Innsbruck

Garuda Lions Prediction: Wacker Innsbruck

1 – 2 Predicted score Β· 10% model probability

Allianz Stadion, ViennaReferee: C. Demir

Rapid Wien II 26%
Draw 24%
Wacker Innsbruck 50%

Confidence: Low  Β·  blended with market odds

Chance Wacker Innsbruck wins
50%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
95%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
60%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 2
10% of simulated outcomes

Rapid Wien II vs Wacker Innsbruck overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Rapid Wien II vs Wacker Innsbruck

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityRapid Wien IIDrawWacker Innsbruck
Model19.8%23.2%57.0%
Market27.9%24.5%47.6%
Final25.8%24.2%50.0%
Edge-8.1%-1.3%+9.3%

Confidence: Low

Why Wacker Innsbruck

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.03 vs 1.13.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Wacker Innsbruck below the model: +9.3 percentage points of edge.

Best available price on the pick: 1.98, recorded β€” the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.

Rapid Wien II vs Wacker Innsbruck match preview

In the upcoming match between Rapid Wien II and Wacker Innsbruck, the model indicates a significant advantage for Wacker Innsbruck, with a 57% probability of victory compared to Rapid Wien II's 20%. The likelihood of a draw stands at 23%. The expected goals for Rapid Wien II are 1.13, while Wacker Innsbruck is projected to score 2.02, suggesting a potential scoreline of 1-2, which has a 10% probability.

Recent form shows Rapid Wien II struggling with four consecutive losses, followed by a win and another loss. In contrast, Wacker Innsbruck has shown more resilience, with two wins and a draw in their last three matches. The probabilities also indicate a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance for both teams to score, highlighting an expectation for an engaging match.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Rapid Wien II ↓ / Wacker Innsbru β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 9% 6% 1 11% 10% 7% 5% 2 6% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 83%
3+ goals 61%
No goals 5%

Rapid Wien II and Wacker Innsbruck expected goals

Rapid Wien II 1.13
Wacker Innsbruck 2.03

Total expected goals: 3.16

Rapid Wien II and Wacker Innsbruck attack and defence ratings

Rapid Wien II

Attack 0.82 -18%
Defence 1.45 +45%

Wacker Innsbruck

Attack 1.08 +8%
Defence 0.92 -8%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

2. Liga

Before and after this match

Rapid Wien II vs Wacker Innsbruck markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Wacker Innsbruck 50.0% 2.00 +9.3% 1.98
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 60.9% 1.64 β€” β€”
Both teams to score Yes 59.7% 1.68 β€” β€”
Double chance 12 (either side) 75.8% 1.32 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 42.9% 2.33 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Rapid Wien II25.8%
Draw24.2%
Wacker Innsbruck50.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.560.9%
Under 2.539.1%
Both teams to scoreYes59.7%
No40.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)50.0%
12 (either side)75.8%
X2 (draw or away)74.2%
Handicap -1Wacker Innsbruck win35.0%
Push (exactly one goal)22.1%
Loss42.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.8%
1-29.9%
0-28.8%

Rapid Wien II vs Wacker Innsbruck stats

Rapid Wien II and Wacker Innsbruck recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Rapid Wien II and Wacker Innsbruck season so far

league record

Rapid Wien II record

  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 0.3 at home.
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Wacker Innsbruck record

  • They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Rapid Wien II vs Wacker Innsbruck head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

0Rapid Wien II wins 0Draws 4Wacker Innsbruck wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2022-04-22Wacker InnsbruckRapid Wien II2. Liga2-1
2021-10-16Rapid Wien IIWacker Innsbruck2. Liga0-3
2021-05-02Rapid Wien IIWacker Innsbruck2. Liga0-2
2020-11-28Wacker InnsbruckRapid Wien II2. Liga2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Rapid Wien II vs Wacker Innsbruck odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 27.9%, draw 24.5%, away 47.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.40 3.75 1.93
Bet365 3.30 3.75 1.90
BetVictor 3.30 3.75 1.93
Betano 3.35 3.70 1.95
Betfair 3.30 3.80 1.91
Dafabet 3.30 3.80 1.98
Marathonbet 3.38 3.75 1.91
Pinnacle 3.39 3.91 1.93
SBO 3.02 3.30 1.94
William Hill 3.25 3.50 1.91

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.30 β–Ό -0.05
X 3.75 β€”
2 1.93 β–² +0.02

12 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 2 Wacker Innsbruck Predicted score 1 – 2 Low Bet Now
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