Rapid Wien II
vs
Wacker Innsbruck
Garuda Lions Prediction: Wacker Innsbruck
1 β 2 Predicted score Β· 10% model probability
Rapid Wien II vs Wacker Innsbruck overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Rapid Wien II vs Wacker Innsbruck
| Probability | Rapid Wien II | Draw | Wacker Innsbruck |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 19.8% | 23.2% | 57.0% |
| Market | 27.9% | 24.5% | 47.6% |
| Final | 25.8% | 24.2% | 50.0% |
| Edge | -8.1% | -1.3% | +9.3% |
Why Wacker Innsbruck
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.03 vs 1.13.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Wacker Innsbruck below the model: +9.3 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 1.98, recorded β the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Rapid Wien II vs Wacker Innsbruck match preview
In the upcoming match between Rapid Wien II and Wacker Innsbruck, the model indicates a significant advantage for Wacker Innsbruck, with a 57% probability of victory compared to Rapid Wien II's 20%. The likelihood of a draw stands at 23%. The expected goals for Rapid Wien II are 1.13, while Wacker Innsbruck is projected to score 2.02, suggesting a potential scoreline of 1-2, which has a 10% probability.
Recent form shows Rapid Wien II struggling with four consecutive losses, followed by a win and another loss. In contrast, Wacker Innsbruck has shown more resilience, with two wins and a draw in their last three matches. The probabilities also indicate a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance for both teams to score, highlighting an expectation for an engaging match.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Rapid Wien II and Wacker Innsbruck expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.16
Rapid Wien II and Wacker Innsbruck attack and defence ratings
Rapid Wien II
Wacker Innsbruck
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Before and after this match
Rapid Wien II vs Wacker Innsbruck markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Wacker Innsbruck | 50.0% | 2.00 | +9.3% | 1.98 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.9% | 1.64 | β | β |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.7% | 1.68 | β | β |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.8% | 1.32 | β | β |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 42.9% | 2.33 | β | β |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rapid Wien II | 25.8% |
| Draw | 24.2% | |
| Wacker Innsbruck | 50.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 39.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.7% |
| No | 40.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 50.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 74.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Wacker Innsbruck win | 35.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.1% | |
| Loss | 42.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.8% |
| 1-2 | 9.9% | |
| 0-2 | 8.8% |
Rapid Wien II vs Wacker Innsbruck stats
Rapid Wien II and Wacker Innsbruck recent form
| LLLLWL | |
| DDWLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Rapid Wien II and Wacker Innsbruck season so far
Rapid Wien II record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 0.3 at home.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Wacker Innsbruck record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Rapid Wien II vs Wacker Innsbruck head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-04-22 | Wacker Innsbruck | Rapid Wien II | 2. Liga | 2-1 |
| 2021-10-16 | Rapid Wien II | Wacker Innsbruck | 2. Liga | 0-3 |
| 2021-05-02 | Rapid Wien II | Wacker Innsbruck | 2. Liga | 0-2 |
| 2020-11-28 | Wacker Innsbruck | Rapid Wien II | 2. Liga | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Rapid Wien II vs Wacker Innsbruck odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 27.9%, draw 24.5%, away 47.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.40 | 3.75 | 1.93 |
| Bet365 | 3.30 | 3.75 | 1.90 |
| BetVictor | 3.30 | 3.75 | 1.93 |
| Betano | 3.35 | 3.70 | 1.95 |
| Betfair | 3.30 | 3.80 | 1.91 |
| Dafabet | 3.30 | 3.80 | 1.98 |
| Marathonbet | 3.38 | 3.75 | 1.91 |
| Pinnacle | 3.39 | 3.91 | 1.93 |
| SBO | 3.02 | 3.30 | 1.94 |
| William Hill | 3.25 | 3.50 | 1.91 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .