Garuda Lions
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2. Liga · Full time ·Matchday 8

First Vienna vs SKN ST. Polten

3 – 1 Full time

Hohe Warte Stadium, ViennaReferee: D. Divkovic

First Vienna 49%
Draw 27%
SKN ST. Polten 24%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

First Vienna vs SKN ST. Polten overview

Garuda Lions analysis: First Vienna vs SKN ST. Polten

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFirst ViennaDrawSKN ST. Polten
Model58.1%28.2%13.7%
Market46.2%26.3%27.5%
Final49.2%26.8%24.1%
Edge+11.9%+1.9%-13.8%

Confidence: Low

Why First Vienna

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.50 vs 0.60.
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
  • The market prices First Vienna below the model: +11.9 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

First Vienna ↓ / SKN ST. Polten → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 13% 1 17% 12% 2 14% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 87%
2+ goals 63%
3+ goals 35%
No goals 13%

First Vienna and SKN ST. Polten expected goals

First Vienna 1.50
SKN ST. Polten 0.60

Total expected goals: 2.11

First Vienna and SKN ST. Polten attack and defence ratings

First Vienna

Attack 1.29 +29%
Defence 0.61 -39%

SKN ST. Polten

Attack 0.77 -23%
Defence 0.77 -23%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

First Vienna vs SKN ST. Polten: result vs prediction

First Vienna 3 – 1 SKN ST. Polten

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

2. Liga

Before and after this match

First Vienna vs SKN ST. Polten markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 First Vienna 49.2% 2.03 +11.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 64.8% 1.54 — —
Both teams to score No 63.7% 1.57 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 75.9% 1.32 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 41.9% 2.38 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2First Vienna49.2%
Draw26.8%
SKN ST. Polten24.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.535.2%
Under 2.564.8%
Both teams to scoreYes36.3%
No63.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)75.9%
12 (either side)73.2%
X2 (draw or away)50.8%
Handicap -1First Vienna win31.2%
Push (exactly one goal)26.8%
Loss41.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-017.2%
2-013.7%
0-013.3%

First Vienna vs SKN ST. Polten stats

First Vienna and SKN ST. Polten recent form

newest first
First Vienna WWWWWD
SKN ST. Polten WWLWLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

First Vienna and SKN ST. Polten going into this match

league record before kick-off

First Vienna record

  • They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.

SKN ST. Polten record

  • They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

First Vienna vs SKN ST. Polten head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

4First Vienna wins 2Draws 3SKN ST. Polten wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-20First ViennaSKN ST. Polten2. Liga2-1
2025-08-15SKN ST. PoltenFirst Vienna2. Liga2-1
2025-03-14SKN ST. PoltenFirst Vienna2. Liga3-3
2024-08-30First ViennaSKN ST. Polten2. Liga2-1
2024-04-05First ViennaSKN ST. Polten2. Liga7-3
2023-09-15SKN ST. PoltenFirst Vienna2. Liga1-2
2023-04-07SKN ST. PoltenFirst Vienna2. Liga3-1
2022-08-05First ViennaSKN ST. Polten2. Liga1-1
2014-05-10SKN ST. PoltenFirst Vienna2. Liga1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

First Vienna vs SKN ST. Polten odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 46.2%, draw 26.3%, away 27.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.99 3.58 3.36
Bet365 2.05 3.50 3.20
BetVictor 1.95 3.50 3.40
Betano 1.98 3.45 3.45
Betfair 1.91 3.60 3.25
Dafabet 2.07 3.50 3.35
Marathonbet 1.97 3.58 3.34
Pinnacle 1.99 3.59 3.71
SBO 2.06 3.12 3.08
William Hill 2.00 3.30 3.20

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.99 ▲ +0.08
X 3.50 ▼ -0.16
2 3.34 ▼ -0.21

14 snapshots recorded, from .