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2. Liga · Full time ·Matchday 7

SKN ST. Polten vs Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz

2 – 1 Full time

9′Henrique CayresRodrigo Souza
35′W. Amoah
37′Rodrigo Souza
40′Gabryel
46′L. BucheggerA. Borkovic
55′N. Szerencsi
58′S. Skogen
59′W. AmoahT. Altersberger
61′T. Altersberger
62′M. Stendera
67′G. OmoteharaG. Davies
67′Matheus CecchiniD. Araki
71′M. StenderaL. Gabbichler
72′N. SzerencsiL. Hartwig
75′D. Gabriel Jesus
79′Joao CescoL. Dantas
79′Rodrigo SouzaL. Nussbaumer
80′William Rodrigues
84′L. Nussbaumer
90′L. Dantas
90′Gabryel
90′M. Stendera
90′C. Sekerlioglu

NV ArenaReferee: S. Sampl

SKN ST. Polten 45%
Draw 28%
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz 28%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

SKN ST. Polten vs Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz overview

Garuda Lions analysis: SKN ST. Polten vs Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySKN ST. PoltenDrawSchwarz-Weiß Bregenz
Model34.0%31.8%34.1%
Market48.1%26.5%25.4%
Final44.6%27.8%27.6%
Edge-14.0%+5.3%+8.7%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

SKN ST. Polten ↓ / Schwarz-Weiß B → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 12% 11% 1 11% 15% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 88%
2+ goals 66%
3+ goals 38%
No goals 12%

SKN ST. Polten and Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz expected goals

SKN ST. Polten 1.10
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz 1.10

Total expected goals: 2.20

SKN ST. Polten and Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz attack and defence ratings

SKN ST. Polten

Attack 0.71 -29%
Defence 0.75 -25%

Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz

Attack 1.13 +13%
Defence 1.03 +3%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

SKN ST. Polten vs Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz: result vs prediction

SKN ST. Polten 2 – 1 Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

2. Liga

Before and after this match

SKN ST. Polten vs Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 SKN ST. Polten 44.6% 2.24 -14.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 62.3% 1.60 — —
Both teams to score No 54.2% 1.84 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 72.4% 1.38 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 65.9% 1.52 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2SKN ST. Polten44.6%
Draw27.8%
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz27.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.537.7%
Under 2.562.3%
Both teams to scoreYes45.8%
No54.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)72.4%
12 (either side)72.2%
X2 (draw or away)55.4%
Handicap -1SKN ST. Polten win14.2%
Push (exactly one goal)19.9%
Loss65.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.8%
0-012.5%
0-110.9%

SKN ST. Polten vs Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz stats

SKN ST. Polten and Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz recent form

newest first
SKN ST. Polten WLWLLL
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz WDLWDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

SKN ST. Polten and Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz going into this match

league record before kick-off

SKN ST. Polten record

  • They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They average 1.0 goals per game on the road against 0.3 at home.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 6 matches.
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz record

  • They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They average 3.3 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.

SKN ST. Polten vs Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz head-to-head

Last 7 meetings

4SKN ST. Polten wins 1Draws 2Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-12-12Schwarz-Weiß BregenzSKN ST. Polten2. Liga2-1
2025-08-08SKN ST. PoltenSchwarz-Weiß Bregenz2. Liga4-2
2025-05-09SKN ST. PoltenSchwarz-Weiß Bregenz2. Liga3-1
2024-11-08Schwarz-Weiß BregenzSKN ST. Polten2. Liga0-4
2024-08-27SKN ST. PoltenSchwarz-Weiß BregenzCup0-2
2024-05-20SKN ST. PoltenSchwarz-Weiß Bregenz2. Liga2-2
2023-11-10Schwarz-Weiß BregenzSKN ST. Polten2. Liga2-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

SKN ST. Polten vs Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 48.1%, draw 26.5%, away 25.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.93 3.42 3.72
Bet365 1.95 3.70 3.20
BetVictor 1.95 3.60 3.30
Betano 1.93 3.50 3.65
Betfair 1.90 3.60 3.40
Marathonbet 1.91 3.42 3.70
Pinnacle 1.99 3.47 3.84
SBO 1.64 3.52 3.94
William Hill 1.95 3.50 3.20

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.93 ▲ +0.14
X 3.50 ▼ -0.01
2 3.65 ▼ -0.57

12 snapshots recorded, from .