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2. Liga · Full time ·Matchday 7

Sturm Graz II vs Wacker Innsbruck

2 – 2 Full time

7′L. Gstrein
16′M. Sy
28′G. Biancheri
36′N. Lang
36′N. Lang
40′B. Maierhofer
58′N. Lang
59′B. MaierhoferJ. Petritsch
60′M. SyR. Tekir
60′T. GurmannG. Haider
60′M. KochlY. Guermouche
61′Y. Guermouche
71′G. BiancheriC. Weinzierl
71′L. GstreinB. Owusu
77′C. Weinzierl
81′R. Galle
90′M. EvansA. Rodriguez

Solarstadion Gleisdorf, GleisdorfReferee: M. Greinecker

Sturm Graz II 32%
Draw 25%
Wacker Innsbruck 43%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Sturm Graz II vs Wacker Innsbruck overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Sturm Graz II vs Wacker Innsbruck

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySturm Graz IIDrawWacker Innsbruck
Model29.1%23.8%47.1%
Market32.8%25.5%41.7%
Final31.9%25.1%43.1%
Edge-3.7%-1.7%+5.3%

Confidence: Low

Why Wacker Innsbruck

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.94 vs 1.50.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Wacker Innsbruck below the model: +5.3 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Sturm Graz II ↓ / Wacker Innsbru → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 5% 6% 1 10% 9% 6% 2 7% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 87%
3+ goals 67%
No goals 4%

Sturm Graz II and Wacker Innsbruck expected goals

Sturm Graz II 1.50
Wacker Innsbruck 1.94

Total expected goals: 3.44

Sturm Graz II and Wacker Innsbruck attack and defence ratings

Sturm Graz II

Attack 1.17 +17%
Defence 1.43 +43%

Wacker Innsbruck

Attack 1.05 +5%
Defence 0.85 -15%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Sturm Graz II vs Wacker Innsbruck: result vs prediction

Sturm Graz II 2 – 2 Wacker Innsbruck

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

2. Liga

Before and after this match

Sturm Graz II vs Wacker Innsbruck markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Wacker Innsbruck 43.1% 2.32 +5.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 66.8% 1.50 — —
Both teams to score Yes 67.5% 1.48 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.9% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 52.9% 1.89 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Sturm Graz II31.9%
Draw25.1%
Wacker Innsbruck43.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.566.8%
Under 2.533.2%
Both teams to scoreYes67.5%
No32.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)56.9%
12 (either side)74.9%
X2 (draw or away)68.1%
Handicap -1Wacker Innsbruck win27.1%
Push (exactly one goal)20.0%
Loss52.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.3%
1-29.0%
2-17.0%

Sturm Graz II vs Wacker Innsbruck stats

Sturm Graz II and Wacker Innsbruck recent form

newest first
Sturm Graz II DWLLWL
Wacker Innsbruck DWLWWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Sturm Graz II and Wacker Innsbruck going into this match

league record before kick-off

Sturm Graz II record

  • They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
  • They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.

Wacker Innsbruck record

  • They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
  • 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Sturm Graz II vs Wacker Innsbruck head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Sturm Graz II vs Wacker Innsbruck odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 32.8%, draw 25.5%, away 41.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.81 3.72 2.20
Bet365 2.80 3.60 2.20
BetVictor 2.80 3.60 2.20
Betano 2.77 3.80 2.20
Betfair 2.75 3.60 2.15
Marathonbet 2.79 3.72 2.18
Pinnacle 2.85 3.94 2.25
SBO 3.02 3.36 1.92
William Hill 2.62 3.50 2.20

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.80 ▼ -0.24
X 3.60 ▼ -0.18
2 2.20 ▲ +0.16

13 snapshots recorded, from .