2. Liga · Full time ·Matchday 8

WSPG Wels vs Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz

1 – 0 Full time

9′N. RossiD. Araki
50′I. Drammeh
53′S. Haudum
60′O. Kregar
64′C. WernitznigY. Mankan
67′Y. ShimaRodrigo Souza
67′GabryelL. Sealey
76′M. ThurnwaldM. Brugger
76′N. FreundP. Muller
78′A. Zaizen
83′P. Muller
83′William RodriguesJoao Cesco
83′A. FetahuG. Davies
84′I. DrammehM. Svec
84′P. GobaraN. Keckeisen

Huber-Arena, WelsReferee: J. Schnur

WSPG Wels 31%
Draw 26%
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz 43%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

WSPG Wels vs Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz overview

Garuda Lions analysis: WSPG Wels vs Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityWSPG WelsDrawSchwarz-Weiß Bregenz
Model30.9%25.2%44.0%
Market31.5%26.0%42.5%
Final31.3%25.8%42.9%
Edge-0.2%-0.2%+0.4%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.76 vs 1.45.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

WSPG Wels ↓ / Schwarz-Weiß B → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 6% 1 11% 9% 2 7% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 84%
3+ goals 62%
No goals 5%

WSPG Wels and Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz expected goals

WSPG Wels 1.45
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz 1.76

Total expected goals: 3.21

WSPG Wels and Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz attack and defence ratings

WSPG Wels

Attack 0.92 -8%
Defence 1.25 +25%

Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz

Attack 1.09 +9%
Defence 1.04 +4%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

WSPG Wels vs Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz: result vs prediction

WSPG Wels 1 – 0 Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

2. Liga

Before and after this match

WSPG Wels vs Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz 42.9% 2.33 +0.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 62.2% 1.61 — —
Both teams to score Yes 64.4% 1.55 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.2% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 56.0% 1.78 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2WSPG Wels31.3%
Draw25.8%
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz42.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.562.2%
Under 2.537.8%
Both teams to scoreYes64.4%
No35.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)57.1%
12 (either side)74.2%
X2 (draw or away)68.7%
Handicap -1Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz win24.1%
Push (exactly one goal)19.9%
Loss56.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.3%
1-29.1%
2-17.5%

WSPG Wels vs Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz stats

WSPG Wels and Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

WSPG Wels and Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz going into this match

league record before kick-off

WSPG Wels record

  • They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz record

  • They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They average 3.3 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.

WSPG Wels vs Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

1WSPG Wels wins 1Draws 0Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-24Schwarz-Weiß BregenzWSPG Wels2. Liga2-3
2025-11-01WSPG WelsSchwarz-Weiß Bregenz2. Liga1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

WSPG Wels vs Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 31.5%, draw 26.0%, away 42.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.94 3.56 2.18
Bet365 2.88 3.50 2.15
BetVictor 3.00 3.50 2.10
Betano 3.15 3.55 2.07
Betfair 2.80 3.50 2.15
Dafabet 2.90 3.55 2.24
Marathonbet 2.92 3.56 2.16
Pinnacle 2.95 3.69 2.27
SBO 2.84 3.26 2.11
William Hill 2.80 3.30 2.20

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.91 ▼ -0.17
X 3.52 ▼ -0.04
2 2.16 ▲ +0.09

13 snapshots recorded, from .