WSPG Wels
vs
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
Garuda Lions Prediction: Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability
WSPG Wels vs Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz overview
Garuda Lions analysis: WSPG Wels vs Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
| Probability | WSPG Wels | Draw | Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 30.8% | 25.2% | 44.0% |
| Market | 28.9% | 25.5% | 45.6% |
| Final | 29.4% | 25.4% | 45.2% |
| Edge | +1.9% | -0.3% | -1.6% |
Why Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.76 vs 1.45.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 2.10, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
WSPG Wels vs Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz match preview
WSPG Wels faces Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz in a matchup where the model gives Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz a 44% chance of winning, compared to WSPG Wels at 31% and a 25% chance of a draw. The expected goals suggest a competitive match, with WSPG Wels projected at 1.45 and Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz at 1.76. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, occurring with a 9% probability.
In terms of recent form, WSPG Wels has struggled with a record of L-L-W-L-D-L, while Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz shows a more favorable trend with L-W-D-L-W-D. Historically, WSPG Wels has had the upper hand in their last two encounters, securing 1 win and 1 draw against Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz, who has yet to win. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is at 62%, and both teams scoring stands at 64%.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
WSPG Wels and Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.21
WSPG Wels and Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz attack and defence ratings
WSPG Wels
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
WSPG Wels vs Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz | 45.2% | 2.21 | -1.6% | 2.10 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.1% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.3% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.6% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.9% | 1.79 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | WSPG Wels | 29.4% |
| Draw | 25.4% | |
| Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz | 45.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 37.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.3% |
| No | 35.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 54.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 70.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz win | 24.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.0% | |
| Loss | 55.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.4% |
| 1-2 | 9.1% | |
| 2-1 | 7.5% |
WSPG Wels vs Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz stats
WSPG Wels and Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz recent form
| WSPG Wels |
LLWLDL |
| Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz |
LWDLWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
WSPG Wels and Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz season so far
WSPG Wels record
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 3.3 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
WSPG Wels vs Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-24 | Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz | WSPG Wels | 2. Liga | 2-3 |
| 2025-11-01 | WSPG Wels | Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz | 2. Liga | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
WSPG Wels vs Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 28.9%, draw 25.5%, away 45.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.30 | 3.62 | 2.00 |
| Bet365 | 3.20 | 3.60 | 2.00 |
| BetVictor | 3.13 | 3.50 | 2.05 |
| Betano | 3.15 | 3.55 | 2.07 |
| Betfair | 3.30 | 3.60 | 1.95 |
| Dafabet | 3.15 | 3.60 | 2.10 |
| Marathonbet | 3.28 | 3.62 | 1.98 |
| Pinnacle | 3.30 | 3.68 | 2.03 |
| SBO | 2.89 | 3.24 | 2.02 |
| William Hill | 3.10 | 3.40 | 2.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .