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2. Liga · Full time ·Matchday 9

Austria Vienna (Am) vs WSPG Wels

2 – 2 Full time

21′I. Drammeh
25′R. Morth
40′M. Brandt
51′S. Malinowski
63′T. SahinP. Muller
63′O. KregarM. Brugger
63′C. WernitznigY. Mankan
67′I. DrammehM. Svec
71′D. NisandzicH. Deshishku
71′M. HausjellI. Menshykov
71′M. BrandtM. Osterreicher
74′M. Osterreicher
83′S. Malinowski
83′N. PolonkaiT. Baotic
90′W. Vorsager
90′J. Roider
90′M. Moswitzer

Generali Arena, ViennaReferee: S. Sampl

Austria Vienna (Am) 44%
Draw 26%
WSPG Wels 31%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Austria Vienna (Am) vs WSPG Wels overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Austria Vienna (Am) vs WSPG Wels

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAustria Vienna (Am)DrawWSPG Wels
Model52.8%23.9%23.2%
Market40.7%26.4%33.0%
Final43.7%25.8%30.5%
Edge+3.0%-0.6%-2.4%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Austria Vienna (Am)

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.95 vs 1.25.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Austria Vienna (Am) below our published probability: +3.0 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Austria Vienna ↓ / WSPG Wels → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 11% 6% 2 8% 10% 6% 3 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 84%
3+ goals 62%
No goals 5%

Austria Vienna (Am) and WSPG Wels expected goals

Austria Vienna (Am) 1.95
WSPG Wels 1.25

Total expected goals: 3.20

Austria Vienna (Am) and WSPG Wels attack and defence ratings

Austria Vienna (Am)

Attack 1.13 +13%
Defence 1.07 +7%

WSPG Wels

Attack 0.90 -10%
Defence 1.13 +13%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Austria Vienna (Am) vs WSPG Wels: result vs prediction

Austria Vienna (Am) 2 – 2 WSPG Wels

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

2. Liga

Before and after this match

Austria Vienna (Am) vs WSPG Wels markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Austria Vienna (Am) 43.7% 2.29 +3.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 62.0% 1.61 — —
Both teams to score Yes 62.2% 1.61 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.2% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 47.2% 2.12 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Austria Vienna (Am)43.7%
Draw25.8%
WSPG Wels30.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.562.0%
Under 2.538.0%
Both teams to scoreYes62.2%
No37.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)69.5%
12 (either side)74.2%
X2 (draw or away)56.3%
Handicap -1Austria Vienna (Am) win31.3%
Push (exactly one goal)21.5%
Loss47.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.9%
2-19.7%
2-07.8%

Austria Vienna (Am) vs WSPG Wels stats

Austria Vienna (Am) and WSPG Wels recent form

newest first
Austria Vienna (Am) WWLWLW
WSPG Wels WLLWLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Austria Vienna (Am) and WSPG Wels going into this match

league record before kick-off

Austria Vienna (Am) record

  • They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
  • 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

WSPG Wels record

  • They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Austria Vienna (Am) vs WSPG Wels head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

2Austria Vienna (Am) wins 0Draws 0WSPG Wels wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-07Austria Vienna (Am)WSPG Wels2. Liga1-0
2025-08-29WSPG WelsAustria Vienna (Am)2. Liga0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Austria Vienna (Am) vs WSPG Wels odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 40.7%, draw 26.4%, away 33.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.31 3.50 2.77
Bet365 2.25 3.50 2.80
BetVictor 2.25 3.40 2.88
Marathonbet 2.29 3.50 2.75
Pinnacle 2.29 3.63 2.95
William Hill 2.20 3.30 2.80

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.