2. Liga Β· Β·Matchday 9

SKN ST. Polten vs Rapid Wien II

Garuda Lions Prediction: SKN ST. Polten

1 – 0 Predicted score Β· 13% model probability

NV Arena

SKN ST. Polten 57%
Draw 26%
Rapid Wien II 17%

Confidence: Low  Β·  model-only, no market odds

Chance SKN ST. Polten wins
57%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
91%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
46%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 0
13% of simulated outcomes

SKN ST. Polten vs Rapid Wien II overview

Garuda Lions analysis: SKN ST. Polten vs Rapid Wien II

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySKN ST. PoltenDrawRapid Wien II
Model57.2%26.2%16.6%
Marketβ€”β€”β€”
Final57.2%26.2%16.6%
Edgeβ€”β€”β€”

Confidence: Low

Why SKN ST. Polten

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.69 vs 0.81.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

SKN ST. Polten ↓ / Rapid Wien II β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 1 13% 12% 2 12% 9% 3 7% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 72%
3+ goals 46%
No goals 9%

SKN ST. Polten and Rapid Wien II expected goals

SKN ST. Polten 1.69
Rapid Wien II 0.81

Total expected goals: 2.50

SKN ST. Polten and Rapid Wien II attack and defence ratings

SKN ST. Polten

Attack 0.77 -23%
Defence 0.77 -23%

Rapid Wien II

Attack 0.82 -18%
Defence 1.45 +45%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

2. Liga

Before and after this match

SKN ST. Polten vs Rapid Wien II markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 SKN ST. Polten 57.2% 1.75 β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 54.5% 1.84 β€” β€”
Both teams to score No 53.7% 1.86 β€” β€”
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 83.4% 1.20 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 42.8% 2.34 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2SKN ST. Polten57.2%
Draw26.2%
Rapid Wien II16.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.545.5%
Under 2.554.5%
Both teams to scoreYes46.3%
No53.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)83.4%
12 (either side)73.8%
X2 (draw or away)42.8%
Handicap -1SKN ST. Polten win32.5%
Push (exactly one goal)24.7%
Loss42.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-012.8%
1-112.4%
2-011.7%

SKN ST. Polten vs Rapid Wien II stats

SKN ST. Polten and Rapid Wien II recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

SKN ST. Polten and Rapid Wien II season so far

league record

SKN ST. Polten record

  • They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Rapid Wien II record

  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 0.3 at home.
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

SKN ST. Polten vs Rapid Wien II head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

2SKN ST. Polten wins 0Draws 0Rapid Wien II wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-06SKN ST. PoltenRapid Wien II2. Liga4-0
2025-08-30Rapid Wien IISKN ST. Polten2. Liga0-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

SKN ST. Polten vs Rapid Wien II odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 1 SKN ST. Polten Predicted score 1 – 0 Low Bet Now
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