SV Kapfenberg
vs
SKN ST. Polten
Garuda Lions Prediction: SKN ST. Polten
0 – 1 Predicted score · 11% model probability
SV Kapfenberg vs SKN ST. Polten overview
Garuda Lions analysis: SV Kapfenberg vs SKN ST. Polten
| Probability | SV Kapfenberg | Draw | SKN ST. Polten |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31.1% | 30.8% | 38.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 31.1% | 30.8% | 38.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why SKN ST. Polten
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
SV Kapfenberg vs SKN ST. Polten match preview
SV Kapfenberg faces SKN St. Polten in a 2. Liga matchup on October 23, 2026. According to our model, SV Kapfenberg has a 31% chance of winning, while SKN St. Polten is favored with a 38% probability. The most likely scoreline predicted is 0-1, occurring with an 11% likelihood. In terms of expected goals, SV Kapfenberg is projected to score 1.09, and SKN St. Polten is expected to net 1.22.
Recent form shows SV Kapfenberg struggling with four losses in their last six matches, while SKN St. Polten has had a mixed run with two wins and a draw in their last six games. In their last two encounters, SV Kapfenberg has not secured any wins, with SKN St. Polten winning both matches. The confidence grade for this prediction stands at C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
SV Kapfenberg and SKN ST. Polten expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.32
SV Kapfenberg and SKN ST. Polten attack and defence ratings
SV Kapfenberg
SKN ST. Polten
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
SV Kapfenberg vs SKN ST. Polten markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | SKN ST. Polten | 38.1% | 2.62 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 59.1% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 51.8% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 69.2% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.9% | 1.62 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | SV Kapfenberg | 31.1% |
| Draw | 30.8% | |
| SKN ST. Polten | 38.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 40.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 59.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48.2% |
| No | 51.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 61.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 68.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | SKN ST. Polten win | 17.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.9% | |
| Loss | 61.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.5% |
| 0-0 | 11.2% | |
| 0-1 | 10.8% |
SV Kapfenberg vs SKN ST. Polten stats
SV Kapfenberg and SKN ST. Polten recent form
| SV Kapfenberg |
LLLLWL |
| SKN ST. Polten |
DLWWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
SV Kapfenberg and SKN ST. Polten season so far
SV Kapfenberg record
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
SKN ST. Polten record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
SV Kapfenberg vs SKN ST. Polten head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-08 | SV Kapfenberg | SKN ST. Polten | 2. Liga | 0-3 |
| 2025-11-23 | SKN ST. Polten | SV Kapfenberg | 2. Liga | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.