Floridsdorfer AC
vs
SV Kapfenberg
Garuda Lions Prediction: Floridsdorfer AC
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.51 vs 1.18.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Floridsdorfer AC is the favourite, not a value bet.
Floridsdorfer AC vs SV Kapfenberg overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Floridsdorfer AC vs SV Kapfenberg
| Probability | Floridsdorfer AC | Draw | SV Kapfenberg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43.8% | 27.9% | 28.3% |
| Market | 52.3% | 23.9% | 23.9% |
| Final | 50.2% | 24.9% | 25.0% |
| Edge | -2.1% | +1.0% | +1.1% |
Why Floridsdorfer AC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.51 vs 1.18.
Best available price on the pick: 1.80, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -9.7% per unit staked (our 50.2% × 1.80 − 1).
Floridsdorfer AC vs SV Kapfenberg match preview
Floridsdorfer AC faces SV Kapfenberg in their upcoming 2. Liga match on October 31, 2026. According to our model, Floridsdorfer AC has a 44% chance of winning, while both a draw and a victory for SV Kapfenberg are estimated at 28%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 in favor of Floridsdorfer AC, with a 9% probability. The expected goals for Floridsdorfer AC stand at 1.51, compared to 1.18 for SV Kapfenberg.
In terms of recent form, Floridsdorfer AC has recorded three losses, one win, and one draw in their last five matches, while SV Kapfenberg has struggled with one draw and five consecutive losses. The head-to-head record shows Floridsdorfer AC with one win and one draw against SV Kapfenberg in their last two encounters, indicating a slight historical advantage for the home side.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Floridsdorfer AC and SV Kapfenberg expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.69
Floridsdorfer AC and SV Kapfenberg attack and defence ratings
Floridsdorfer AC
SV Kapfenberg
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
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- Wacker Innsbruck vs Austria Vienna (Am)
- Rapid Wien II vs FC Liefering
- Sturm Graz II v Voitsberg — match page
- Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz vs Admira Wacker — team news & stats
- First Vienna vs FC BW Linz — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Floridsdorfer AC vs SV Kapfenberg markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Floridsdorfer AC | 50.2% | 1.99 | -2.1% | 1.80 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.1% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.1% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.2% | 1.78 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Floridsdorfer AC | 50.2% |
| Draw | 24.9% | |
| SV Kapfenberg | 25.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.1% |
| No | 44.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 49.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Floridsdorfer AC win | 22.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.4% | |
| Loss | 56.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.3% |
| 2-1 | 9.1% | |
| 1-0 | 9.1% |
Floridsdorfer AC vs SV Kapfenberg stats
Floridsdorfer AC and SV Kapfenberg recent form
| Floridsdorfer AC |
LLLWLD |
| SV Kapfenberg |
DWLLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Floridsdorfer AC and SV Kapfenberg season so far
Floridsdorfer AC record
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
SV Kapfenberg record
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
Floridsdorfer AC vs SV Kapfenberg head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-12 | SV Kapfenberg | Floridsdorfer AC | 2. Liga | 0-0 |
| 2025-08-08 | Floridsdorfer AC | SV Kapfenberg | 2. Liga | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Floridsdorfer AC vs SV Kapfenberg odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 52.3%, draw 23.9%, away 23.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.77 | 3.88 | 3.88 |
| Betano | 1.80 | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| Marathonbet | 1.75 | 3.88 | 3.88 |
| Pinnacle | 1.79 | 3.96 | 3.88 |
| William Hill | 1.75 | 3.60 | 3.75 |