SKN ST. Polten
vs
WSPG Wels
Garuda Lions Prediction: SKN ST. Polten
1 – 0 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.65 vs 1.01.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
SKN ST. Polten vs WSPG Wels overview
Garuda Lions analysis: SKN ST. Polten vs WSPG Wels
| Probability | SKN ST. Polten | Draw | WSPG Wels |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 51.1% | 26.9% | 22.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 51.1% | 26.9% | 22.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why SKN ST. Polten
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.65 vs 1.01.
SKN ST. Polten vs WSPG Wels match preview
SKN St. Polten holds a 51% probability of winning against WSPG Wels, with a model-predicted scoreline of 1-0 being the most likely outcome at 10%. The expected goals for SKN St. Polten stand at 1.65, while WSPG Wels is projected at 1.01. The recent form shows SKN St. Polten with two draws and a win in their last three matches, while WSPG Wels has experienced a mix of results, including two losses and a win.
In their last three head-to-head encounters, SKN St. Polten has secured one victory and drawn twice, with WSPG Wels yet to win. The model indicates a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% likelihood that both teams will score. The overall confidence grade for this match is rated as C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
SKN ST. Polten and WSPG Wels expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.66
SKN ST. Polten and WSPG Wels attack and defence ratings
SKN ST. Polten
WSPG Wels
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Austria Salzburg vs SKU Amstetten — team news & stats
- Wacker Innsbruck vs Austria Vienna (Am)
- Floridsdorfer AC v SV Kapfenberg — match page
- Rapid Wien II vs FC Liefering
- Sturm Graz II v Voitsberg — match page
- Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz vs Admira Wacker — team news & stats
- First Vienna vs FC BW Linz — team news & stats
Before and after this match
SKN ST. Polten vs WSPG Wels markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | SKN ST. Polten | 51.1% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 50.4% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.6% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.0% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 48.9% | 2.05 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | SKN ST. Polten | 51.1% |
| Draw | 26.9% | |
| WSPG Wels | 22.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 50.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.6% |
| No | 47.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 48.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | SKN ST. Polten win | 28.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.1% | |
| Loss | 48.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.8% |
| 1-0 | 10.4% | |
| 2-1 | 9.6% |
SKN ST. Polten vs WSPG Wels stats
SKN ST. Polten and WSPG Wels recent form
| SKN ST. Polten |
DDLWWL |
| WSPG Wels |
LDWLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
SKN ST. Polten and WSPG Wels season so far
SKN ST. Polten record
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
WSPG Wels record
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
SKN ST. Polten vs WSPG Wels head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-14 | SKN ST. Polten | WSPG Wels | 2. Liga | 1-0 |
| 2025-11-28 | WSPG Wels | SKN ST. Polten | 2. Liga | 1-1 |
| 2025-08-26 | WSPG Wels | SKN ST. Polten | Austria Cup | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.