Garuda Lions
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Austria Cup · Full time ·Round of 16

WSPG Wels vs Wolfsberger AC

1 – 0 Full time

4′T. Sahin
36′A. SchwarzP. Verhounig
46′C. DiabateS. Piesinger
59′Y. MankanN. Freund
59′D. BarlovC. Wernitznig
59′M. SvecI. Drammeh
59′N. ZotzP. Muller
60′I. Drammeh
70′M. Sulzner
74′E. AgyemangM. Pink
87′F. Wohlmuth
88′D. AvdijajS. Karamoko
90′D. Fitz
90′G. Vrioni

Huber-Arena, Wels

WSPG Wels 19%
Draw 25%
Wolfsberger AC 56%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

WSPG Wels vs Wolfsberger AC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: WSPG Wels vs Wolfsberger AC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityWSPG WelsDrawWolfsberger AC
Model16.7%25.2%58.1%
Market19.5%24.5%55.9%
Final18.8%24.7%56.5%
Edge-0.7%+0.2%+0.5%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Wolfsberger AC

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.79 vs 0.86.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

WSPG Wels ↓ / Wolfsberger AC → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 12% 11% 7% 1 12% 10% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 75%
3+ goals 49%
No goals 8%

WSPG Wels and Wolfsberger AC expected goals

WSPG Wels 0.86
Wolfsberger AC 1.79

Total expected goals: 2.65

WSPG Wels and Wolfsberger AC attack and defence ratings

WSPG Wels

Attack 0.76 -24%
Defence 1.13 +13%

Wolfsberger AC

Attack 0.59 -41%
Defence 0.99 -1%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

WSPG Wels vs Wolfsberger AC: result vs prediction

WSPG Wels 1 – 0 Wolfsberger AC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Round of 16 fixtures

Austria Cup

Before and after this match

WSPG Wels vs Wolfsberger AC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Wolfsberger AC 56.5% 1.77 +0.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 50.8% 1.97 — —
Both teams to score No 50.9% 1.96 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 81.2% 1.23 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 41.7% 2.40 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2WSPG Wels18.8%
Draw24.7%
Wolfsberger AC56.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.549.2%
Under 2.550.8%
Both teams to scoreYes49.1%
No50.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)43.5%
12 (either side)75.3%
X2 (draw or away)81.2%
Handicap -1Wolfsberger AC win34.1%
Push (exactly one goal)24.1%
Loss41.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.0%
0-111.6%
0-211.3%

WSPG Wels vs Wolfsberger AC stats

WSPG Wels and Wolfsberger AC recent form

newest first
WSPG Wels LDWLLW
Wolfsberger AC LLLLLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

WSPG Wels vs Wolfsberger AC head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

WSPG Wels vs Wolfsberger AC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 19.5%, draw 24.5%, away 55.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 4.88 3.74 1.65
Bet365 5.00 3.75 1.62
BetVictor 4.10 3.20 1.55
Betano 4.55 3.65 1.70
Betfair 4.60 3.75 1.62
Dafabet 4.80 3.80 1.67
Marathonbet 4.90 3.74 1.63
Pinnacle 4.92 3.87 1.62
SBO 4.04 3.28 1.68
William Hill 4.60 3.50 1.65

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 4.70 ▲ +0.20
X 3.74 ▲ +0.14
2 1.64 ▼ -0.03

2 snapshots recorded, from .