Garuda Lions
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Austria Cup · Full time ·Round of 16

Lask Linz vs Ried

5 – 4 Full time

37′Y. Maart
46′E. E. AisowierenD. Radonjic
47′I. Kiese
50′D. Kuhbauer
51′J. Tornich
63′A. SchopfM. Usor
63′C. LangR. Ljubicic
63′J. TornichX. Mbuyamba
66′I. KieseL. Malicsek
72′S. KalajdzicS. Adeniran
77′Y. Maart
83′F. RossdorferA. Bajic
83′S. SchwabJ. Boguo
83′M. RasnerL. Capan
84′R. Ljubicic
89′S. Adeniran
90′X. Mbuyamba
100′K. P. Molgaard JorgensenF. Flecker
105′Y. MaartJ. Nasrawe
111′S. HorvathA. Andrade
111′M. Usor
112′M. Usor
117′K. Danek
117′P. Pomer
117′L. Malicsek
117′F. Flecker
120′S. Adeniran
120′P. Pomer

Raiffeisen Arena, Linz

Lask Linz 53%
Draw 17%
Ried 30%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Lask Linz vs Ried overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Lask Linz vs Ried

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityLask LinzDrawRied
Model10.2%13.9%75.9%
Market66.7%18.5%14.7%
Final52.6%17.4%30.0%
Edge-14.1%-1.2%+15.3%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Lask Linz ↓ / Ried → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 12% 1 8% 8% 14% 2 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 98%
2+ goals 94%
3+ goals 81%
No goals 2%

Lask Linz and Ried expected goals

Lask Linz 1.21
Ried 3.18

Total expected goals: 4.39

Lask Linz and Ried attack and defence ratings

Lask Linz

Attack 1.20 +20%
Defence 1.04 +4%

Ried

Attack 1.14 +14%
Defence 0.87 -13%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Lask Linz vs Ried: result vs prediction

Lask Linz 5 – 4 Ried

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Round of 16 fixtures

Austria Cup

Before and after this match

Lask Linz vs Ried markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Lask Linz 52.6% 1.90 -14.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 81.4% 1.23 — —
Both teams to score Yes 67.4% 1.48 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 82.6% 1.21 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 89.6% 1.12 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Lask Linz52.6%
Draw17.4%
Ried30.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.581.4%
Under 2.518.6%
Both teams to scoreYes67.4%
No32.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)70.0%
12 (either side)82.6%
X2 (draw or away)47.4%
Handicap -1Lask Linz win4.0%
Push (exactly one goal)6.5%
Loss89.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-38.1%
1-27.6%
0-36.7%

Lask Linz vs Ried stats

Lask Linz and Ried recent form

newest first
Lask Linz LWWLLD
Ried DWWWDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Lask Linz vs Ried head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Lask Linz wins 5Draws 2Ried wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-14Lask LinzRiedAustria Bundesliga4-1
2026-03-18RiedLask LinzAustria Cup1-2
2026-02-14RiedLask LinzAustria Bundesliga1-1
2025-08-30Lask LinzRiedAustria Bundesliga1-3
2025-03-21Lask LinzRiedFriendlies Clubs1-1
2023-02-18RiedLask LinzBundesliga1-1
2022-09-04Lask LinzRiedBundesliga1-1
2022-05-14RiedLask LinzBundesliga1-1
2022-04-02Lask LinzRiedBundesliga0-2
2021-12-05Lask LinzRiedBundesliga1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Lask Linz vs Ried odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 66.7%, draw 18.5%, away 14.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.38 5.05 6.36
Bet365 1.40 5.00 6.50
BetVictor 1.30 4.20 5.25
Betano 1.40 5.00 6.40
Betfair 1.30 4.75 7.00
Dafabet 1.40 5.20 6.20
Marathonbet 1.37 5.05 6.30
Pinnacle 1.41 5.04 6.29
SBO 1.34 4.53 5.51
William Hill 1.40 4.60 5.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.39 ▼ -0.11
X 5.00 ▲ +0.75
2 6.29 ▲ +0.88

4 snapshots recorded, from .