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Austria Cup · Full time ·Round of 16

Wacker Innsbruck vs WSG Wattens

2 – 2 Full time

5′H. Balic
16′L. Gstrein
46′Y. GuermoucheO. Yilmaz
62′H. BalicM. Wels
62′M. OlakigbeM. Satin
69′L. GstreinB. Owusu
77′A. LechlG. Biancheri
82′N. Baden FrederiksenT. Goiginger
90′M. Boras
100′M. KochlR. Galle
100′M. EvansC. Weinzierl
105′L. HinterseerT. Sabitzer
105′M. Taferner
110′T. Sabitzer
112′D. FrancisA. Wibowo
115′T. Sabitzer
116′G. Biancheri
120′T. Sabitzer
120′P. Kunze
120′G. Biancheri
120′M. Boras
120′M. Satin
120′O. Yilmaz
120′M. Oswald

Stadion Tivoli NEU, Innsbruck

Wacker Innsbruck 24%
Draw 27%
WSG Wattens 49%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Wacker Innsbruck vs WSG Wattens overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Wacker Innsbruck vs WSG Wattens

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityWacker InnsbruckDrawWSG Wattens
Model13.3%26.0%60.7%
Market27.8%27.6%44.6%
Final24.2%27.2%48.6%
Edge-3.6%-0.4%+4.0%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why WSG Wattens

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.66 vs 0.65.
  • The market prices WSG Wattens below our published probability: +4.0 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Wacker Innsbru ↓ / WSG Wattens → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 11% 15% 14% 1 12% 9% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 89%
2+ goals 68%
3+ goals 41%
No goals 11%

Wacker Innsbruck and WSG Wattens expected goals

Wacker Innsbruck 0.65
WSG Wattens 1.66

Total expected goals: 2.31

Wacker Innsbruck and WSG Wattens attack and defence ratings

Wacker Innsbruck

Attack 0.74 -26%
Defence 0.71 -29%

WSG Wattens

Attack 0.87 -13%
Defence 0.78 -22%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Wacker Innsbruck vs WSG Wattens: result vs prediction

Wacker Innsbruck 2 – 2 WSG Wattens

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Round of 16 fixtures

Austria Cup

Before and after this match

Wacker Innsbruck vs WSG Wattens markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 WSG Wattens 48.6% 2.06 +4.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 59.2% 1.69 — —
Both teams to score No 60.1% 1.66 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 75.8% 1.32 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 39.3% 2.54 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Wacker Innsbruck24.2%
Draw27.2%
WSG Wattens48.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.540.8%
Under 2.559.2%
Both teams to scoreYes39.9%
No60.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)51.4%
12 (either side)72.8%
X2 (draw or away)75.8%
Handicap -1WSG Wattens win34.7%
Push (exactly one goal)26.0%
Loss39.3%
Correct score (top 3)0-115.4%
0-213.6%
1-111.8%

Wacker Innsbruck vs WSG Wattens stats

Wacker Innsbruck and WSG Wattens recent form

newest first
Wacker Innsbruck LLWDDW
WSG Wattens DWLLDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Wacker Innsbruck vs WSG Wattens head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

5Wacker Innsbruck wins 0Draws 3WSG Wattens wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2018-05-04Wacker InnsbruckWSG Wattens2. Liga2-0
2018-03-09WSG WattensWacker Innsbruck2. Liga1-2
2017-10-13Wacker InnsbruckWSG Wattens2. Liga1-0
2017-08-11WSG WattensWacker Innsbruck2. Liga1-3
2017-04-21WSG WattensWacker Innsbruck2. Liga3-4
2017-02-24Wacker InnsbruckWSG Wattens2. Liga0-1
2016-09-30WSG WattensWacker Innsbruck2. Liga2-1
2016-08-05Wacker InnsbruckWSG Wattens2. Liga1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Wacker Innsbruck vs WSG Wattens odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 27.8%, draw 27.6%, away 44.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.28 3.30 2.12
Bet365 3.50 3.50 2.00
BetVictor 2.88 3.00 1.93
Betano 3.45 3.30 2.07
Betfair 3.25 3.40 2.00
Dafabet 3.30 3.45 2.09
Marathonbet 3.28 3.32 2.08
Pinnacle 3.48 3.39 2.02
SBO 3.01 3.13 2.01
William Hill 3.20 3.00 2.10

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.28 ▼ -0.01
X 3.31 ▲ +0.01
2 2.04 ▲ +0.02

4 snapshots recorded, from .