Lask Linz
vs
WSG Wattens
Garuda Lions Prediction: Lask Linz
2 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.30 vs 1.84.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Lask Linz is the favourite, not a value bet.
Lask Linz vs WSG Wattens overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Lask Linz vs WSG Wattens
| Probability | Lask Linz | Draw | WSG Wattens |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48.0% | 21.2% | 30.8% |
| Market | 69.7% | 17.9% | 12.4% |
| Final | 64.3% | 18.7% | 17.0% |
| Edge | -5.4% | +0.8% | +4.6% |
Why Lask Linz
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.30 vs 1.84.
Best available price on the pick: 1.36, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -12.6% per unit staked (our 64.3% × 1.36 − 1).
Lask Linz vs WSG Wattens match preview
Lask Linz enters the match against WSG Wattens with a strong probability of winning at 66%, while WSG Wattens has a 16% chance of victory. The expected goals for Lask Linz stand at 2.48 compared to WSG Wattens' 1.70, indicating a likely competitive match. Our model predicts a most likely scoreline of 2-1, which aligns with the high probability of over 2.5 goals at 79% and both teams scoring at 75%.
Recent form shows Lask Linz with mixed results, recording two wins, two losses, and one draw in their last five matches. In contrast, WSG Wattens has had a slightly better run with two wins, two losses, and one draw in the same period. The head-to-head record in their last two encounters is evenly matched, with each team securing one win.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Lask Linz and WSG Wattens expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.14
Lask Linz and WSG Wattens attack and defence ratings
Lask Linz
WSG Wattens
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Lask Linz vs WSG Wattens markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lask Linz | 64.3% | 1.56 | -5.4% | 1.36 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 78.2% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 76.4% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.0% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.0% | 1.92 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lask Linz | 64.3% |
| Draw | 18.7% | |
| WSG Wattens | 17.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 78.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 21.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 76.4% |
| No | 23.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 81.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 35.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Lask Linz win | 29.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.6% | |
| Loss | 52.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 7.7% |
| 1-1 | 7.4% | |
| 2-2 | 7.1% |
Lask Linz vs WSG Wattens stats
Lask Linz and WSG Wattens recent form
| Lask Linz |
LWWLLD |
| WSG Wattens |
DWLLDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Lask Linz and WSG Wattens season so far
Lask Linz record
- They have won 6 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
WSG Wattens record
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
Lask Linz vs WSG Wattens head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-07 | Lask Linz | WSG Wattens | Austria Bundesliga | 1-0 |
| 2025-08-10 | WSG Wattens | Lask Linz | Austria Bundesliga | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Lask Linz vs WSG Wattens odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 69.7%, draw 17.9%, away 12.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.34 | 5.20 | 7.55 |
| Bet365 | 1.33 | 5.25 | 8.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.30 | 5.25 | 8.00 |
| Betano | 1.35 | 5.20 | 7.40 |
| Betfair | 1.30 | 5.00 | 7.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.33 | 5.20 | 7.60 |
| Pinnacle | 1.36 | 5.47 | 7.03 |
| William Hill | 1.35 | 4.80 | 7.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
7 snapshots recorded, from .