Austria Vienna
vs
Rapid Vienna
Garuda Lions Prediction: Rapid Vienna
1 – 2 Predicted score · 8% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.86 vs 1.21.
- RiskGrade C: weaker evidence — both clubs are rated on goals scored and conceded, not on the chances they created.
Austria Vienna vs Rapid Vienna overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Austria Vienna vs Rapid Vienna
| Probability | Austria Vienna | Draw | Rapid Vienna |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 12.7% | 16.4% | 70.9% |
| Market | 19.7% | 22.5% | 57.8% |
| Final | 18.0% | 21.0% | 61.0% |
| Edge | -1.7% | -1.5% | +3.3% |
Why Rapid Vienna
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.86 vs 1.21.
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Rapid Vienna below our published probability: +3.3 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 1.68, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +2.6% per unit staked (our 61.0% × 1.68 − 1).
Austria Vienna vs Rapid Vienna match preview
Austria Vienna faces Rapid Vienna in a crucial Austria Bundesliga clash, with kickoff set for November 1, 2026. According to our model, Austria Vienna has an 18% chance of winning, while Rapid Vienna holds a significant 61% probability. The expected goals for Austria Vienna stand at 1.21, compared to Rapid Vienna's 2.85, indicating a potential advantage for the visitors. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-2, occurring with an 8% likelihood.
Recent form shows Austria Vienna struggling with three consecutive losses, followed by a draw and two wins, while Rapid Vienna is in excellent shape, boasting six straight victories. In their last four head-to-head encounters, Austria Vienna has won three times and drawn once, yet their current form may challenge their historical dominance in this matchup.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Austria Vienna and Rapid Vienna expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.07
Austria Vienna and Rapid Vienna attack and defence ratings
Austria Vienna
Rapid Vienna
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Austria Vienna vs Rapid Vienna markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rapid Vienna | 61.0% | 1.64 | +3.3% | 1.68 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 77.1% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.6% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 82.0% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Rapid Vienna win | 51.6% | 1.94 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Austria Vienna | 18.0% |
| Draw | 21.0% | |
| Rapid Vienna | 61.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 77.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 22.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.6% |
| No | 33.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 39.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 82.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Rapid Vienna win | 51.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.3% | |
| Loss | 29.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-2 | 8.5% |
| 1-3 | 8.1% | |
| 0-2 | 7.0% |
Austria Vienna vs Rapid Vienna stats
Austria Vienna and Rapid Vienna recent form
| Austria Vienna |
LLLDWW |
| Rapid Vienna |
WWWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Austria Vienna and Rapid Vienna season so far
Austria Vienna record
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game on the road against 0.5 at home.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
- 69% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Rapid Vienna record
- They have won 8 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.9 goals per match.
- They average 3.6 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Austria Vienna vs Rapid Vienna head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | Rapid Vienna | Austria Vienna | Austria Bundesliga | 0-2 |
| 2026-04-12 | Austria Vienna | Rapid Vienna | Austria Bundesliga | 1-1 |
| 2026-02-15 | Austria Vienna | Rapid Vienna | Austria Bundesliga | 2-0 |
| 2025-09-28 | Rapid Vienna | Austria Vienna | Austria Bundesliga | 1-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Austria Vienna vs Rapid Vienna odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 19.7%, draw 22.5%, away 57.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.64 | 4.15 | 1.63 |
| Bet365 | 4.75 | 4.20 | 1.57 |
| Betano | 4.80 | 4.05 | 1.62 |
| Betfair | 4.75 | 4.33 | 1.60 |
| Marathonbet | 4.70 | 4.15 | 1.61 |
| Pinnacle | 4.83 | 3.95 | 1.68 |
| William Hill | 4.60 | 3.80 | 1.65 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
7 snapshots recorded, from .