Austria Bundesliga Β· Β·Matchday 11

SCR Altach vs Ried

Garuda Lions Prediction: SCR Altach

2 – 1 Predicted score Β· 8% model probability

  • RiskNo edge: the market already prices this β€” SCR Altach is the favourite, not a value bet.

Cashpoint-Arena, Altach

SCR Altach 42%
Draw 25%
Ried 33%

Confidence: Low  Β·  blended with market odds

Chance SCR Altach wins
42%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
97%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
73%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
2 – 1
8% of simulated outcomes

SCR Altach vs Ried overview

Garuda Lions analysis: SCR Altach vs Ried

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySCR AltachDrawRied
Model37.2%23.0%39.8%
Market43.6%25.9%30.5%
Final42.0%25.2%32.8%
Edge-1.6%-0.7%+2.3%

Confidence: Low Β· Edge = Final minus Market

Best available price on the pick: 2.30, recorded β€” the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -3.4% per unit staked (our 42.0% Γ— 2.30 βˆ’ 1).

SCR Altach vs Ried match preview

SCR Altach faces Ried in an intriguing matchup, with SCR Altach holding a 39% probability of winning compared to Ried's 35%. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 2-1 in favor of SCR Altach, with an 8% likelihood. Both teams are expected to contribute to a high-scoring game, as the model indicates a 72% chance for over 2.5 goals and a 72% probability that both teams will score.

In terms of recent form, SCR Altach has recorded a mixed bag of results with two wins and three losses in their last six matches. Conversely, Ried has been more consistent, winning four of their last six games, with one draw and one loss. The expected goals suggest a competitive encounter, with SCR Altach at 1.81 and Ried at 1.90. The head-to-head record shows an even split, with each team winning twice in their last four encounters.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

SCR Altach ↓ / Ried β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 9% 8% 5% 2 8% 7% 5% 3 5% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 90%
3+ goals 72%
No goals 3%

SCR Altach and Ried expected goals

SCR Altach 1.85
Ried 1.91

Total expected goals: 3.76

SCR Altach and Ried attack and defence ratings

SCR Altach

Attack 1.09 +9%
Defence 1.03 +3%

Ried

Attack 1.46 +46%
Defence 1.10 +10%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

Austria Bundesliga

Before and after this match

SCR Altach vs Ried markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 SCR Altach 42.0% 2.38 -1.6% 2.30
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 72.5% 1.38 β€” β€”
Both teams to score Yes 72.6% 1.38 β€” β€”
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.8% 1.34 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 62.8% 1.59 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2SCR Altach42.0%
Draw25.2%
Ried32.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.572.5%
Under 2.527.5%
Both teams to scoreYes72.6%
No27.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)67.2%
12 (either side)74.8%
X2 (draw or away)58.0%
Handicap -1SCR Altach win20.0%
Push (exactly one goal)17.1%
Loss62.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-19.0%
1-27.9%
2-17.6%

SCR Altach vs Ried stats

SCR Altach and Ried recent form

newest first
SCR Altach WLWLLW
Ried DWWWDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

SCR Altach and Ried season so far

league record

SCR Altach record

  • They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 9 matches.

Ried record

  • They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
  • They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
  • 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

SCR Altach vs Ried head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

2SCR Altach wins 0Draws 2Ried wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-16SCR AltachRiedAustria Bundesliga2-0
2026-04-03RiedSCR AltachAustria Bundesliga3-2
2025-12-13RiedSCR AltachAustria Bundesliga3-0
2025-08-09SCR AltachRiedAustria Bundesliga1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

SCR Altach vs Ried odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 43.6%, draw 25.9%, away 30.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.18 3.62 2.99
Bet365 2.05 3.60 3.20
BetVictor 2.10 3.60 3.10
Betano 2.12 3.50 3.20
Betfair 2.30 3.60 2.80
Marathonbet 2.16 3.62 2.98
Pinnacle 2.15 3.72 3.15
William Hill 2.10 3.40 3.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.13 β–Ό -0.17
X 3.60 β–² +0.09
2 3.05 β–² +0.25

7 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 1 SCR Altach Predicted score 2 – 1 Low Bet Now
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