TSV Hartberg
vs
SCR Altach
Garuda Lions Prediction: TSV Hartberg
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.89 vs 1.53.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — TSV Hartberg is the favourite, not a value bet.
TSV Hartberg vs SCR Altach overview
Garuda Lions analysis: TSV Hartberg vs SCR Altach
| Probability | TSV Hartberg | Draw | SCR Altach |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45.4% | 24.1% | 30.5% |
| Market | 38.0% | 27.3% | 34.7% |
| Final | 39.8% | 26.5% | 33.6% |
| Edge | +1.9% | -0.8% | -1.0% |
Why TSV Hartberg
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.89 vs 1.53.
Best available price on the pick: 2.50, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -0.4% per unit staked (our 39.8% × 2.50 − 1).
TSV Hartberg vs SCR Altach match preview
TSV Hartberg faces SCR Altach in an intriguing matchup, with our model assigning probabilities of 38% for a Hartberg victory, 26% for a draw, and 36% for an Altach win. The expected goals are 1.89 for Hartberg and 1.52 for Altach, suggesting a competitive encounter. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1 in favor of Hartberg, with a 9% probability.
Both teams have shown a tendency to score, with our model indicating a 67% chance for both teams to find the net and a 66% likelihood of over 2.5 goals in the match. Hartberg's recent form includes two wins and a draw in their last six matches, while Altach has secured three wins but also experienced two losses in the same timeframe. The head-to-head record favors Hartberg, with one win and two draws in their last three encounters.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
TSV Hartberg and SCR Altach expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.42
TSV Hartberg and SCR Altach attack and defence ratings
TSV Hartberg
SCR Altach
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
TSV Hartberg vs SCR Altach markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | TSV Hartberg | 39.8% | 2.51 | +1.9% | 2.50 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.4% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.4% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.6% | 1.83 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | TSV Hartberg | 39.8% |
| Draw | 26.5% | |
| SCR Altach | 33.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 33.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.4% |
| No | 32.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 66.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 60.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | TSV Hartberg win | 25.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.7% | |
| Loss | 54.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.4% |
| 2-1 | 8.9% | |
| 1-2 | 7.2% |
TSV Hartberg vs SCR Altach stats
TSV Hartberg and SCR Altach recent form
| TSV Hartberg |
WDWLWD |
| SCR Altach |
DWWLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
TSV Hartberg and SCR Altach season so far
TSV Hartberg record
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
SCR Altach record
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 10 matches.
TSV Hartberg vs SCR Altach head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | SCR Altach | TSV Hartberg | Austria Bundesliga | 1-2 |
| 2026-02-14 | TSV Hartberg | SCR Altach | Austria Bundesliga | 0-0 |
| 2025-10-25 | SCR Altach | TSV Hartberg | Austria Bundesliga | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
TSV Hartberg vs SCR Altach odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 38.0%, draw 27.3%, away 34.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.42 | 3.44 | 2.69 |
| Bet365 | 2.50 | 3.40 | 2.75 |
| BetVictor | 2.40 | 3.40 | 2.70 |
| Betano | 2.47 | 3.40 | 2.70 |
| Betfair | 2.50 | 3.50 | 2.63 |
| Dafabet | 2.47 | 3.55 | 2.75 |
| Marathonbet | 2.42 | 3.44 | 2.69 |
| Pinnacle | 2.48 | 3.61 | 2.73 |
| SBO | 2.32 | 3.15 | 2.61 |
| William Hill | 2.45 | 3.30 | 2.62 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
16 snapshots recorded, from .