Austria Bundesliga Β· Β·Matchday 12

WSG Wattens vs Austria Vienna

Garuda Lions Prediction: WSG Wattens

2 – 1 Predicted score Β· 10% model probability

  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.95 vs 1.15.
  • RiskGrade C: weaker evidence β€” both clubs are rated on goals scored and conceded, not on the chances they created.

Tivoli Stadion Tirol, InnsbruckReferee: Jakob Semler

WSG Wattens 40%
Draw 26%
Austria Vienna 33%

Confidence: Low  Β·  blended with market odds

Chance WSG Wattens wins
40%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
94%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
60%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
2 – 1
10% of simulated outcomes

WSG Wattens vs Austria Vienna overview

Garuda Lions analysis: WSG Wattens vs Austria Vienna

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityWSG WattensDrawAustria Vienna
Model54.8%23.9%21.2%
Market35.6%27.1%37.3%
Final40.4%26.3%33.3%
Edge+4.8%-0.8%-4.0%

Confidence: Low Β· Edge = Final minus Market

Why WSG Wattens

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.95 vs 1.15.
  • Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
  • The market prices WSG Wattens below our published probability: +4.8 percentage points of edge.

Best available price on the pick: 2.75, recorded β€” the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +11.2% per unit staked (our 40.4% Γ— 2.75 βˆ’ 1).

WSG Wattens vs Austria Vienna match preview

WSG Wattens hosts Austria Vienna in an intriguing Austria Bundesliga matchup. According to our model, WSG Wattens has a 42% probability of winning, while Austria Vienna stands at 32%, and a draw is estimated at 26%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 in favor of WSG Wattens, with expected goals of 1.89 for them and 1.28 for Austria Vienna.

In terms of recent form, WSG Wattens has recorded one win in their last six matches, while Austria Vienna has only one win in their last five. The head-to-head record shows WSG Wattens with 2 wins, 2 draws, and Austria Vienna with 6 wins in their last 10 encounters. Both teams are projected to score, with a 62% likelihood of both finding the net.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

WSG Wattens ↓ / Austria Vienna β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 8% 11% 6% 2 9% 10% 6% 3 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 83%
3+ goals 60%
No goals 6%

WSG Wattens and Austria Vienna expected goals

WSG Wattens 1.95
Austria Vienna 1.15

Total expected goals: 3.10

WSG Wattens and Austria Vienna attack and defence ratings

WSG Wattens

Attack 1.11 +11%
Defence 1.02 +2%

Austria Vienna

Attack 0.88 -12%
Defence 1.14 +14%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 12 fixtures

Austria Bundesliga

Before and after this match

WSG Wattens vs Austria Vienna markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 WSG Wattens 40.4% 2.47 +4.8% 2.75
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 59.9% 1.67 β€” β€”
Both teams to score Yes 59.7% 1.68 β€” β€”
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.7% 1.36 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 45.2% 2.21 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2WSG Wattens40.4%
Draw26.3%
Austria Vienna33.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.559.9%
Under 2.540.1%
Both teams to scoreYes59.7%
No40.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)66.7%
12 (either side)73.7%
X2 (draw or away)59.6%
Handicap -1WSG Wattens win32.8%
Push (exactly one goal)22.1%
Loss45.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.1%
2-19.8%
2-08.5%

WSG Wattens vs Austria Vienna stats

WSG Wattens and Austria Vienna recent form

newest first
WSG Wattens LDDWLL
Austria Vienna LDLLLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

WSG Wattens and Austria Vienna season so far

league record

WSG Wattens record

  • They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.6 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).

Austria Vienna record

  • They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.3 goals per game on the road against 0.5 at home.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
  • 64% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

WSG Wattens vs Austria Vienna head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2WSG Wattens wins 2Draws 6Austria Vienna wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-09-02Austria ViennaWSG WattensAustria Bundesliga0-1
2025-11-29Austria ViennaWSG WattensAustria Bundesliga0-0
2025-10-18WSG WattensAustria ViennaAustria Bundesliga2-3
2025-03-16WSG WattensAustria ViennaBundesliga0-2
2024-10-26Austria ViennaWSG WattensBundesliga3-0
2024-04-23WSG WattensAustria ViennaBundesliga1-0
2024-04-20Austria ViennaWSG WattensBundesliga3-0
2024-03-10Austria ViennaWSG WattensBundesliga2-0
2023-10-22WSG WattensAustria ViennaBundesliga0-2
2022-11-06WSG WattensAustria ViennaBundesliga0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

WSG Wattens vs Austria Vienna odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 35.6%, draw 27.1%, away 37.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.61 3.44 2.49
Bet365 2.62 3.40 2.55
BetVictor 2.60 3.40 2.50
Betano 2.45 3.45 2.70
Betfair 2.63 3.50 2.50
Dafabet 2.65 3.50 2.60
Marathonbet 2.61 3.44 2.49
Pinnacle 2.75 3.50 2.52
SBO 2.49 3.18 2.42
William Hill 2.62 3.25 2.45

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.62 β–² +0.22
X 3.44 β–Ό -0.06
2 2.50 β–Ό -0.17

16 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 1 WSG Wattens Predicted score 2 – 1 Low Bet Now
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