Austria Cup · Full time ·Round of 16

Grazer AK vs SCR Altach

0 – 4 Full time

18′Y. Massombo
46′B. ZechR. Rahmani
46′D. MadernerM. Grosse
51′Y. Massombo
58′R. Elongo-Yombo
62′M. GraggerP. Markovic
62′L. KlassenA. Smits
62′A. HofleitnerS. Mandey
62′C. LichtenbergerL. Hermesh
66′P. GreilY. Eisschill
69′S. Hrstic
75′B. BockleN. Niehoff
75′R. Elongo-YomboO. Diawara
83′Y. MassomboA. Vonbrul

Merkur-Arena, Graz

Grazer AK 30%
Draw 26%
SCR Altach 43%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Grazer AK vs SCR Altach overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Grazer AK vs SCR Altach

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityGrazer AKDrawSCR Altach
Model9.6%19.4%71.0%
Market37.3%28.4%34.3%
Final30.4%26.2%43.4%
Edge-6.9%-2.2%+9.2%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why SCR Altach

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.22 vs 0.71.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
  • The market prices SCR Altach below our published probability: +9.2 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Grazer AK ↓ / SCR Altach → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 11% 13% 10% 9% 1 9% 9% 7% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 80%
3+ goals 56%
No goals 6%

Grazer AK and SCR Altach expected goals

Grazer AK 0.71
SCR Altach 2.22

Total expected goals: 2.94

Grazer AK and SCR Altach attack and defence ratings

Grazer AK

Attack 0.75 -25%
Defence 0.96 -4%

SCR Altach

Attack 0.87 -13%
Defence 0.82 -18%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Grazer AK vs SCR Altach: result vs prediction

Grazer AK 0 – 4 SCR Altach

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Round of 16 fixtures

Austria Cup

Before and after this match

Grazer AK vs SCR Altach markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 SCR Altach 43.4% 2.30 +9.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 55.9% 1.79 — —
Both teams to score No 54.0% 1.85 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.8% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 SCR Altach win 47.9% 2.09 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Grazer AK30.4%
Draw26.2%
SCR Altach43.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.555.9%
Under 2.544.1%
Both teams to scoreYes46.0%
No54.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)56.6%
12 (either side)73.8%
X2 (draw or away)69.6%
Handicap -1SCR Altach win47.9%
Push (exactly one goal)23.1%
Loss28.9%
Correct score (top 3)0-213.2%
0-111.1%
0-39.7%

Grazer AK vs SCR Altach stats

Grazer AK and SCR Altach recent form

newest first
Grazer AK DLDDWW
SCR Altach WLWLLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Grazer AK vs SCR Altach head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

4Grazer AK wins 4Draws 1SCR Altach wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-09-12SCR AltachGrazer AKAustria Bundesliga1-2
2026-05-09Grazer AKSCR AltachAustria Bundesliga2-2
2026-04-11SCR AltachGrazer AKAustria Bundesliga1-0
2025-11-01Grazer AKSCR AltachAustria Bundesliga3-1
2025-08-24SCR AltachGrazer AKAustria Bundesliga1-1
2025-05-10SCR AltachGrazer AKBundesliga2-2
2025-04-12Grazer AKSCR AltachBundesliga1-0
2025-02-08SCR AltachGrazer AKBundesliga1-2
2024-09-15Grazer AKSCR AltachBundesliga1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Grazer AK vs SCR Altach odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 37.3%, draw 28.4%, away 34.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.47 3.24 2.68
Bet365 2.55 3.25 2.70
BetVictor 2.25 2.90 2.45
Betano 2.50 3.30 2.75
Betfair 2.40 3.30 2.60
Dafabet 2.50 3.25 2.75
Marathonbet 2.47 3.24 2.68
Pinnacle 2.48 3.28 2.80
SBO 2.36 3.02 2.53
William Hill 2.45 3.00 2.70

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.47 ▲ +0.02
X 3.25 —
2 2.69 —

2 snapshots recorded, from .