Austria Cup · Full time ·Round of 16

Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz vs Red Bull Salzburg

2 – 3 Full time

2′K. Konate
5′Joao CescoD. Kelly
27′J. MellbergT. Drexler
33′G. Omotehara
43′Y. Vertessen
44′A. Zaizen
47′G. Diakite
56′S. Lainer
59′Matheus Cecchini
60′Y. VertessenA. Camara
60′B. MazurekS. Diabate
62′Gabryel
75′G. DiakiteJ. Lindstrom
75′K. KonateH. Tabakovic
81′L. DantasD. Marceta
88′A. ZaizenK. Saito
88′D. ArakiG. Davies
88′Matheus CecchiniD. Maksimovic
90′H. Tabakovic

ImmoAgentur Stadion, Bregenz

Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz 7%
Draw 15%
Red Bull Salzburg 77%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz vs Red Bull Salzburg overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz vs Red Bull Salzburg

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySchwarz-Weiß BregenzDrawRed Bull Salzburg
Model6.8%18.3%74.8%
Market7.7%14.2%78.1%
Final7.5%15.2%77.3%
Edge-0.2%+1.0%-0.8%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Red Bull Salzburg

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.19 vs 0.53.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Schwarz-Weiß B ↓ / Red Bull Salzb → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 14% 16% 12% 10% 1 8% 8% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 76%
3+ goals 51%
No goals 7%

Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz and Red Bull Salzburg expected goals

Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz 0.53
Red Bull Salzburg 2.19

Total expected goals: 2.72

Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz and Red Bull Salzburg attack and defence ratings

Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz

Attack 0.75 -25%
Defence 0.74 -26%

Red Bull Salzburg

Attack 1.10 +10%
Defence 0.63 -37%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz vs Red Bull Salzburg: result vs prediction

Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz 2 – 3 Red Bull Salzburg

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Round of 16 fixtures

Austria Cup

Before and after this match

Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz vs Red Bull Salzburg markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Red Bull Salzburg 77.3% 1.29 -0.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 51.1% 1.96 — —
Both teams to score No 62.6% 1.60 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 92.5% 1.08 — —
Handicap -1 Red Bull Salzburg win 51.0% 1.96 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz7.5%
Draw15.2%
Red Bull Salzburg77.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.551.1%
Under 2.548.9%
Both teams to scoreYes37.4%
No62.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)22.7%
12 (either side)84.8%
X2 (draw or away)92.5%
Handicap -1Red Bull Salzburg win51.0%
Push (exactly one goal)23.8%
Loss25.2%
Correct score (top 3)0-215.8%
0-113.7%
0-311.5%

Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz vs Red Bull Salzburg stats

Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz and Red Bull Salzburg recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz vs Red Bull Salzburg head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz wins 0Draws 1Red Bull Salzburg wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2020-09-09Schwarz-Weiß BregenzRed Bull SalzburgCup0-10

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz vs Red Bull Salzburg odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 7.7%, draw 14.2%, away 78.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 12.90 6.60 1.18
Bet365 15.00 6.50 1.18
BetVictor 9.50 4.80 1.13
Betano 11.75 6.30 1.21
Betfair 13.00 6.50 1.14
Dafabet 12.00 6.60 1.20
Marathonbet 13.00 6.60 1.16
Pinnacle 11.50 6.62 1.19
SBO 9.45 5.70 1.16
William Hill 12.00 5.80 1.18

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 12.00 ▲ +1.65
X 6.50 ▲ +0.75
2 1.18 ▼ -0.03

4 snapshots recorded, from .