Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
vs
Red Bull Salzburg
2 – 3 Full time
| 2′ | K. Konate | ||
| 5′ | Joao CescoD. Kelly | ||
| 27′ | J. MellbergT. Drexler | ||
| 33′ | G. Omotehara | ||
| 43′ | Y. Vertessen | ||
| 44′ | A. Zaizen | ||
| 47′ | G. Diakite | ||
| 56′ | S. Lainer | ||
| 59′ | Matheus Cecchini | ||
| 60′ | Y. VertessenA. Camara | ||
| 60′ | B. MazurekS. Diabate | ||
| 62′ | Gabryel | ||
| 75′ | G. DiakiteJ. Lindstrom | ||
| 75′ | K. KonateH. Tabakovic | ||
| 81′ | L. DantasD. Marceta | ||
| 88′ | A. ZaizenK. Saito | ||
| 88′ | D. ArakiG. Davies | ||
| 88′ | Matheus CecchiniD. Maksimovic | ||
| 90′ | H. Tabakovic |
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz vs Red Bull Salzburg overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz vs Red Bull Salzburg
| Probability | Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz | Draw | Red Bull Salzburg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 6.8% | 18.3% | 74.8% |
| Market | 7.7% | 14.2% | 78.1% |
| Final | 7.5% | 15.2% | 77.3% |
| Edge | -0.2% | +1.0% | -0.8% |
Why Red Bull Salzburg
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.19 vs 0.53.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz and Red Bull Salzburg expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.72
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz and Red Bull Salzburg attack and defence ratings
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
Red Bull Salzburg
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz vs Red Bull Salzburg: result vs prediction
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz 2 – 3 Red Bull Salzburg
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Round of 16 fixtures
Before and after this match
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz vs Red Bull Salzburg markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Red Bull Salzburg | 77.3% | 1.29 | -0.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.1% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 62.6% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 92.5% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Red Bull Salzburg win | 51.0% | 1.96 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz | 7.5% |
| Draw | 15.2% | |
| Red Bull Salzburg | 77.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 48.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 37.4% |
| No | 62.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 22.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 84.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 92.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Red Bull Salzburg win | 51.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.8% | |
| Loss | 25.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-2 | 15.8% |
| 0-1 | 13.7% | |
| 0-3 | 11.5% |
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz vs Red Bull Salzburg stats
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz and Red Bull Salzburg recent form
| DDLLWD | |
| WDWLDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz vs Red Bull Salzburg head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-09-09 | Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz | Red Bull Salzburg | Cup | 0-10 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz vs Red Bull Salzburg odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 7.7%, draw 14.2%, away 78.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 12.90 | 6.60 | 1.18 |
| Bet365 | 15.00 | 6.50 | 1.18 |
| BetVictor | 9.50 | 4.80 | 1.13 |
| Betano | 11.75 | 6.30 | 1.21 |
| Betfair | 13.00 | 6.50 | 1.14 |
| Dafabet | 12.00 | 6.60 | 1.20 |
| Marathonbet | 13.00 | 6.60 | 1.16 |
| Pinnacle | 11.50 | 6.62 | 1.19 |
| SBO | 9.45 | 5.70 | 1.16 |
| William Hill | 12.00 | 5.80 | 1.18 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .