UEFA Champions League · Full time ·League Stage - 4

Lask Linz vs Slovan Bratislava

4 – 0 Full time

19′Kasper Jorgensen
25′Cristian Martínez
36′Kevin Wimmer
36′Suleiman CamaraNino Marcelli
37′Kasper Jorgensen
44′Robert Ljubicic
45′Kevin WimmerSandro Cruz
48′Samuel Adeniran
63′Xavier MbuyambaDaniel Elfadli
63′Robert LjubicicKrystof Danek
63′Samuel AdeniranSasa Kalajdzic
63′Alexej MarošLeo Hofstadter
75′Moses UsorChristoph Lang
75′Andraž ŠporarTigran·Barseghyan
75′Cristian MartínezPeter·Pokorny
81′Sascha HorvathAlessandro Schöpf

Raiffeisen Arena, LinzReferee: Donatas Rumsas

Lask Linz 69%
Draw 17%
Slovan Bratislava 14%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

29 Shots 7
10 Shots on target 5
60 Possession % 40
8 Corners 2
5 Fouls 9
5 Offsides 1
5 Saves 5
473 Accurate passes 291

Lask Linz vs Slovan Bratislava overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Lask Linz vs Slovan Bratislava

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityLask LinzDrawSlovan Bratislava
Model66.2%16.6%17.2%
Market69.6%17.3%13.2%
Final68.7%17.1%14.2%
Edge-0.9%-0.2%+1.0%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Lask Linz

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.03 vs 1.59.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Lask Linz ↓ / Slovan Bratisl → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 2 7% 3 7% 4+ 7% 12% 9%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 99%
2+ goals 95%
3+ goals 84%
No goals 1%

Lask Linz and Slovan Bratislava expected goals

Lask Linz 3.03
Slovan Bratislava 1.59

Total expected goals: 4.63

Lask Linz and Slovan Bratislava attack and defence ratings

Lask Linz

Attack 1.47 +47%
Defence 1.27 +27%

Slovan Bratislava

Attack 0.96 -4%
Defence 1.07 +7%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Lask Linz vs Slovan Bratislava: result vs prediction

Lask Linz 4 – 0 Slovan Bratislava

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other League Stage - 4 fixtures

UEFA Champions League

Before and after this match

Lask Linz vs Slovan Bratislava markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Lask Linz 68.7% 1.45 -0.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 83.9% 1.19 — —
Both teams to score Yes 76.2% 1.31 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 85.8% 1.17 — —
Handicap -1 Lask Linz win 47.8% 2.09 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Lask Linz68.7%
Draw17.1%
Slovan Bratislava14.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.583.9%
Under 2.516.1%
Both teams to scoreYes76.2%
No23.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)85.8%
12 (either side)82.9%
X2 (draw or away)31.3%
Handicap -1Lask Linz win47.8%
Push (exactly one goal)18.4%
Loss33.8%
Correct score (top 3)3-17.3%
2-17.2%
3-25.8%

Lask Linz vs Slovan Bratislava stats

Lask Linz and Slovan Bratislava recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Lask Linz and Slovan Bratislava going into this match

league record before kick-off

Lask Linz record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
  • 55% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Slovan Bratislava record

  • They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.

Lask Linz vs Slovan Bratislava head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Lask Linz vs Slovan Bratislava odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 69.6%, draw 17.3%, away 13.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.43 5.55 7.40
Bet365 1.36 5.25 7.50
BetVictor 1.33 5.75 7.50
Betano 1.40 5.60 7.30
Betfair 1.36 5.50 7.50
Dafabet 1.38 5.80 7.20
Marathonbet 1.39 5.40 7.20
Pinnacle 1.38 5.72 7.13
SBO 1.32 5.32 6.38
William Hill 1.36 5.00 6.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.37 ▼ -0.07
X 5.53 ▲ +0.68
2 7.25 ▲ +0.84

14 snapshots recorded, from .