UEFA Champions League · Full time ·League Stage - 4

Bodo/Glimt vs Lille

0 – 0 Full time

70′Andreas HelmersenOla Brynhildsen
70′Maurits KjaergaardOlivier Giroud
76′Kjetil Knutsen
81′Sondre AuklendUlrik Saltnes
81′Soriba DiaouneOsame Sahraoui
83′Nathan Ngoy
86′Dilane BakwaGaëtan Perrin
88′Haitam AleesamiJostein Gundersen

Aspmyra Stadion, HakataReferee: Joao Pinheiro

Bodo/Glimt 59%
Draw 21%
Lille 19%

Confidence: Medium  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

4 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 2
51 Possession % 49
3 Corners 4
12 Fouls 8
3 Offsides 0
2 Saves 4
492 Accurate passes 473

Bodo/Glimt vs Lille overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Bodo/Glimt vs Lille

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBodo/GlimtDrawLille
Model69.1%17.3%13.7%
Market55.7%22.8%21.4%
Final59.1%21.4%19.5%
Edge+3.3%-1.4%-1.9%

Confidence: Medium · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Bodo/Glimt

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.74 vs 1.20.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Bodo/Glimt below our published probability: +3.3 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Bodo/Glimt ↓ / Lille → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 2 7% 9% 3 7% 8% 4+ 9% 11% 6%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 91%
3+ goals 75%
No goals 3%

Bodo/Glimt and Lille expected goals

Bodo/Glimt 2.74
Lille 1.20

Total expected goals: 3.94

Bodo/Glimt and Lille attack and defence ratings

Bodo/Glimt

Attack 1.37 +37%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Lille

Attack 0.92 -8%
Defence 1.04 +4%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Bodo/Glimt vs Lille: result vs prediction

Bodo/Glimt 0 – 0 Lille

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other League Stage - 4 fixtures

UEFA Champions League

Before and after this match

Bodo/Glimt vs Lille markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Bodo/Glimt 59.1% 1.69 +3.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 75.2% 1.33 — —
Both teams to score Yes 66.0% 1.52 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 80.5% 1.24 — —
Handicap -1 Bodo/Glimt win 49.3% 2.03 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Bodo/Glimt59.1%
Draw21.4%
Lille19.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.575.2%
Under 2.524.8%
Both teams to scoreYes66.0%
No34.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)80.5%
12 (either side)78.6%
X2 (draw or away)40.9%
Handicap -1Bodo/Glimt win49.3%
Push (exactly one goal)19.8%
Loss30.9%
Correct score (top 3)2-18.8%
3-18.0%
2-07.3%

Bodo/Glimt vs Lille stats

Bodo/Glimt and Lille recent form

newest first
Bodo/Glimt WLLWWW
Lille WDLDLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Bodo/Glimt and Lille going into this match

league record before kick-off

Bodo/Glimt record

  • They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

Bodo/Glimt vs Lille head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Bodo/Glimt vs Lille odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 55.7%, draw 22.8%, away 21.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.79 4.32 4.45
Bet365 1.67 4.20 4.75
BetVictor 1.67 4.33 4.50
Betano 1.75 4.35 4.45
Betfair 1.70 4.20 4.60
Dafabet 1.73 4.20 4.50
Marathonbet 1.74 4.20 4.33
Pinnacle 1.71 4.33 4.74
SBO 1.73 3.77 3.80
William Hill 1.70 3.90 4.20

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.72 ▼ -0.14
X 4.20 ▲ +0.29
2 4.47 ▲ +0.87

14 snapshots recorded, from .