Bodo/Glimt
vs
Lille
0 – 0 Full time
| 70′ | Andreas HelmersenOla Brynhildsen | ||
| 70′ | Maurits KjaergaardOlivier Giroud | ||
| 76′ | Kjetil Knutsen | ||
| 81′ | Sondre AuklendUlrik Saltnes | ||
| 81′ | Soriba DiaouneOsame Sahraoui | ||
| 83′ | Nathan Ngoy | ||
| 86′ | Dilane BakwaGaëtan Perrin | ||
| 88′ | Haitam AleesamiJostein Gundersen |
Match stats
| 4 | Shots | 9 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 51 | Possession % | 49 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 8 |
| 3 | Offsides | 0 |
| 2 | Saves | 4 |
| 492 | Accurate passes | 473 |
Bodo/Glimt vs Lille overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Bodo/Glimt vs Lille
| Probability | Bodo/Glimt | Draw | Lille |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 69.1% | 17.3% | 13.7% |
| Market | 55.7% | 22.8% | 21.4% |
| Final | 59.1% | 21.4% | 19.5% |
| Edge | +3.3% | -1.4% | -1.9% |
Why Bodo/Glimt
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.74 vs 1.20.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Bodo/Glimt below our published probability: +3.3 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Bodo/Glimt and Lille expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.94
Bodo/Glimt and Lille attack and defence ratings
Bodo/Glimt
Lille
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Bodo/Glimt vs Lille: result vs prediction
Bodo/Glimt 0 – 0 Lille
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other League Stage - 4 fixtures
- Shakhtar Donetsk v Sporting CP — match page
- Galatasaray vs VfB Stuttgart — team news & stats
- Manchester United vs Roma
- Feyenoord v Inter — match page
- Barcelona vs Aston Villa
- Atletico Madrid v Bayern Munich — match page
- Villarreal vs Paris Saint Germain — team news & stats
- Lask Linz vs Slovan Bratislava
Before and after this match
Bodo/Glimt vs Lille markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bodo/Glimt | 59.1% | 1.69 | +3.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75.2% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.0% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.5% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Bodo/Glimt win | 49.3% | 2.03 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bodo/Glimt | 59.1% |
| Draw | 21.4% | |
| Lille | 19.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 24.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.0% |
| No | 34.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 40.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Bodo/Glimt win | 49.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.8% | |
| Loss | 30.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 8.8% |
| 3-1 | 8.0% | |
| 2-0 | 7.3% |
Bodo/Glimt vs Lille stats
Bodo/Glimt and Lille recent form
| WLLWWW | |
| WDLDLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Bodo/Glimt and Lille going into this match
Bodo/Glimt record
- They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Bodo/Glimt vs Lille head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Bodo/Glimt vs Lille odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 55.7%, draw 22.8%, away 21.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.79 | 4.32 | 4.45 |
| Bet365 | 1.67 | 4.20 | 4.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.67 | 4.33 | 4.50 |
| Betano | 1.75 | 4.35 | 4.45 |
| Betfair | 1.70 | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| Dafabet | 1.73 | 4.20 | 4.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.74 | 4.20 | 4.33 |
| Pinnacle | 1.71 | 4.33 | 4.74 |
| SBO | 1.73 | 3.77 | 3.80 |
| William Hill | 1.70 | 3.90 | 4.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .