Eliteserien Β· Β·Matchday 25

Bodo/Glimt vs Viking

Garuda Lions Prediction: Bodo/Glimt

2 – 1 Predicted score Β· 7% model probability

  • RiskNo edge: the market already prices this β€” Bodo/Glimt is the favourite, not a value bet.

Aspmyra Stadion

Bodo/Glimt 54%
Draw 21%
Viking 25%

Confidence: Low  Β·  blended with market odds

Chance Bodo/Glimt wins
54%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
98%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
79%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
2 – 1
7% of simulated outcomes

Bodo/Glimt vs Viking overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Bodo/Glimt vs Viking

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBodo/GlimtDrawViking
Model44.2%21.0%34.9%
Market56.9%21.1%22.0%
Final53.7%21.1%25.2%
Edge-3.2%-0.0%+3.2%

Confidence: Low Β· Edge = Final minus Market

Best available price on the pick: 1.68, recorded β€” the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -9.8% per unit staked (our 53.7% Γ— 1.68 βˆ’ 1).

Bodo/Glimt vs Viking match preview

Bodo/Glimt hosts Viking in an Eliteserien clash with Bodo/Glimt holding a 56% probability of winning, while Viking stands at 23%. The most likely scoreline projected by our model is 2-1, occurring with a 7% likelihood. The expectation for over 2.5 goals is high at 84%, and both teams scoring is also forecasted at 81%.

In terms of recent form, Bodo/Glimt has recorded one win in their last six matches, while Viking has been more consistent, with four wins in their last six. The expected goals suggest Bodo/Glimt is likely to score 2.60, compared to Viking's 2.06. In their last three encounters, Bodo/Glimt has one win, while Viking has secured two victories.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Bodo/Glimt ↓ / Viking β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 6% 4% 2 7% 7% 5% 4% 3 5% 5% 4% 4+ 5% 5% 4%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 98%
2+ goals 94%
3+ goals 81%
No goals 2%

Bodo/Glimt and Viking expected goals

Bodo/Glimt 2.29
Viking 2.04

Total expected goals: 4.32

Bodo/Glimt and Viking attack and defence ratings

Bodo/Glimt

Attack 1.35 +35%
Defence 0.98 -2%

Viking

Attack 1.50 +50%
Defence 0.94 -6%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 25 fixtures

Eliteserien

Before and after this match

Bodo/Glimt vs Viking markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Bodo/Glimt 53.7% 1.86 -3.2% 1.68
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 80.5% 1.24 β€” β€”
Both teams to score Yes 78.7% 1.27 β€” β€”
Double chance 12 (either side) 78.9% 1.27 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 55.8% 1.79 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Bodo/Glimt53.7%
Draw21.1%
Viking25.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.580.5%
Under 2.519.5%
Both teams to scoreYes78.7%
No21.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)74.8%
12 (either side)78.9%
X2 (draw or away)46.3%
Handicap -1Bodo/Glimt win26.5%
Push (exactly one goal)17.7%
Loss55.8%
Correct score (top 3)2-27.2%
2-17.1%
1-16.8%

Bodo/Glimt vs Viking stats

Bodo/Glimt and Viking recent form

newest first
Bodo/Glimt LLWWWW
Viking WLWDWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Bodo/Glimt and Viking season so far

league record

Bodo/Glimt record

  • They have won 18 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.
  • They average 3.1 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 11 clean sheets in 23 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 9 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 6 penalties (83%).
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Viking record

  • They have won 18 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
  • They average 3.7 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 23 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 9 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 7 penalties (57%).
  • 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Bodo/Glimt vs Viking head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

1Bodo/Glimt wins 0Draws 2Viking wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-11VikingBodo/GlimtEliteserien5-0
2025-07-19VikingBodo/GlimtEliteserien2-4
2025-05-28Bodo/GlimtVikingEliteserien2-4

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Bodo/Glimt vs Viking odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 56.9%, draw 21.1%, away 22.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.67 4.58 4.33
BetVictor 1.62 4.33 4.00
Betano 1.67 4.15 4.30
Betfair 1.62 4.50 4.20
Dafabet 1.65 4.50 4.50
Marathonbet 1.64 4.50 4.25
Pinnacle 1.68 4.38 4.39
William Hill 1.65 4.20 4.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.65 β–² +0.03
X 4.44 β–Ό -0.09
2 4.28 β–Ό -0.25

5 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 1 Bodo/Glimt Predicted score 2 – 1 Low Bet Now
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