UEFA Champions League · Full time ·League Stage - 4

Viking vs Sabah FA

4 – 1 Full time

2′Kristoffer Haugen
11′Patrick Orphe Mbina
18′Gianni Stensness
27′Erik Botheim
33′Veljko SimićJoy Lance Mickels
36′Umarali Rakhmonaliev
56′Henrik HeggheimHerman Haugen
56′Henrik BjørdalPeter Christiansen
66′Kristoffer HaugenVetle Auklend
69′Zlatko Tripić
70′Patrick Orphe MbinaK. Aliyev
71′Christian NwachukwuDu Queiroz
71′Abdulakh khaybulaevXander Severina
77′Aden McCarthy
79′Umarali RakhmonalievRahman Dashdamirov
81′Henrik Falchener
86′Simen Kvia EgeskogNiklas Fuglestad
86′Tobias MoiJakob Segadal Hansen
87′Joy Lance Mickels
90′Erik Botheim

SR-Bank Arena, StavangerReferee: Sander van der Eijk

Viking 64%
Draw 19%
Sabah FA 17%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

21 Shots 16
8 Shots on target 4
51 Possession % 49
10 Corners 6
5 Fouls 9
4 Offsides 3
3 Saves 4
372 Accurate passes 370

Viking vs Sabah FA overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Viking vs Sabah FA

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityVikingDrawSabah FA
Model48.1%23.2%28.7%
Market69.5%17.4%13.1%
Final64.1%18.8%17.0%
Edge-5.4%+1.5%+3.9%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Viking

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.02 vs 1.55.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Viking ↓ / Sabah FA → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 10% 7% 2 6% 9% 7% 3 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 88%
3+ goals 69%
No goals 4%

Viking and Sabah FA expected goals

Viking 2.02
Sabah FA 1.55

Total expected goals: 3.57

Viking and Sabah FA attack and defence ratings

Viking

Attack 1.46 +46%
Defence 1.01 +1%

Sabah FA

Attack 1.16 +16%
Defence 0.72 -28%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Viking vs Sabah FA: result vs prediction

Viking 4 – 1 Sabah FA

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other League Stage - 4 fixtures

UEFA Champions League

Before and after this match

Viking vs Sabah FA markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Viking 64.1% 1.56 -5.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 69.2% 1.44 — —
Both teams to score Yes 69.2% 1.45 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 83.0% 1.21 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 52.0% 1.92 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Viking64.1%
Draw18.8%
Sabah FA17.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.569.2%
Under 2.530.8%
Both teams to scoreYes69.2%
No30.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)83.0%
12 (either side)81.2%
X2 (draw or away)35.9%
Handicap -1Viking win28.2%
Push (exactly one goal)19.8%
Loss52.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-19.7%
2-18.9%
2-26.9%

Viking vs Sabah FA stats

Viking and Sabah FA recent form

newest first
Viking LWLWDW
Sabah FA LDLWWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Viking and Sabah FA going into this match

league record before kick-off

Viking record

  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.

Sabah FA record

  • They have won 7 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
  • They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 11 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.

Viking vs Sabah FA head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Viking vs Sabah FA odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 69.5%, draw 17.4%, away 13.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.42 5.70 7.40
Bet365 1.36 5.50 7.50
BetVictor 1.36 5.50 7.50
Betano 1.40 5.60 7.40
Betfair 1.36 5.00 7.00
Dafabet 1.38 5.80 7.00
Marathonbet 1.38 5.55 7.20
Pinnacle 1.39 5.69 7.53
SBO 1.38 5.22 6.18
William Hill 1.36 5.00 6.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.38 ▼ -0.02
X 5.53 ▲ +0.23
2 7.30 ▲ +0.48

2 snapshots recorded, from .