Viking
vs
KFUM Oslo
Garuda Lions Prediction: Viking
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.59 vs 1.47.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Viking is the favourite, not a value bet.
Viking vs KFUM Oslo overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Viking vs KFUM Oslo
| Probability | Viking | Draw | KFUM Oslo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 60.9% | 19.3% | 19.8% |
| Market | 77.3% | 13.7% | 9.0% |
| Final | 73.2% | 15.1% | 11.7% |
| Edge | -4.1% | +1.4% | +2.7% |
Why Viking
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.59 vs 1.47.
Best available price on the pick: 1.24, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -9.2% per unit staked (our 73.2% × 1.24 − 1).
Viking vs KFUM Oslo match preview
Viking faces KFUM Oslo in an Eliteserien clash with Viking holding a 56% probability of winning according to our model. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 9% chance. Viking's recent form shows a mix of results with two wins in their last five matches, while KFUM Oslo has been more consistent, achieving four wins in their last six outings.
The expected goals for Viking stand at 2.36, compared to KFUM Oslo's 1.48, indicating a stronger attacking performance from Viking. Additionally, there is a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals in the match, and both teams scoring is projected at 71%. Historically, Viking has dominated their recent encounters with five wins out of the last seven meetings against KFUM Oslo.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Viking and KFUM Oslo expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.05
Viking and KFUM Oslo attack and defence ratings
Viking
KFUM Oslo
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 26 fixtures
Before and after this match
Viking vs KFUM Oslo markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Viking | 73.2% | 1.37 | -4.1% | 1.24 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 77.0% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71.9% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.3% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Viking win | 41.1% | 2.43 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Viking | 73.2% |
| Draw | 15.1% | |
| KFUM Oslo | 11.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 77.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 23.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71.9% |
| No | 28.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 84.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 26.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Viking win | 41.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.8% | |
| Loss | 39.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 8.5% |
| 3-1 | 7.3% | |
| 1-1 | 7.2% |
Viking vs KFUM Oslo stats
Viking and KFUM Oslo recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Viking and KFUM Oslo season so far
Viking record
- They have won 19 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
- They average 3.7 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 9 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 7 penalties (57%).
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
KFUM Oslo record
- They have won 8 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 25 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
Viking vs KFUM Oslo head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | KFUM Oslo | Viking | Eliteserien | 0-2 |
| 2025-09-14 | KFUM Oslo | Viking | Eliteserien | 2-2 |
| 2025-04-06 | Viking | KFUM Oslo | Eliteserien | 3-1 |
| 2024-09-14 | Viking | KFUM Oslo | Eliteserien | 1-0 |
| 2024-07-07 | KFUM Oslo | Viking | Eliteserien | 1-2 |
| 2024-02-16 | Viking | KFUM Oslo | Friendlies Clubs | 1-2 |
| 2022-03-19 | KFUM Oslo | Viking | NM Cupen | 0-5 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Viking vs KFUM Oslo odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 77.3%, draw 13.7%, away 9.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.21 | 7.02 | 12.50 |
| Bet365 | 1.22 | 7.00 | 9.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.18 | 6.50 | 10.50 |
| Betano | 1.24 | 6.30 | 9.25 |
| Betfair | 1.20 | 7.00 | 10.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.24 | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.19 | 6.60 | 11.75 |
| Pinnacle | 1.22 | 7.04 | 10.26 |
| SBO | 1.20 | 5.61 | 7.62 |
| William Hill | 1.20 | 6.00 | 11.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .