KFUM Oslo
vs
Ham-Kam
Garuda Lions Prediction: KFUM Oslo
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.52 vs 1.12.
- RiskGrade C: weaker evidence — both clubs are rated on goals scored and conceded, not on the chances they created.
KFUM Oslo vs Ham-Kam overview
Garuda Lions analysis: KFUM Oslo vs Ham-Kam
| Probability | KFUM Oslo | Draw | Ham-Kam |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 67.0% | 18.7% | 14.2% |
| Market | 47.5% | 27.5% | 25.0% |
| Final | 52.4% | 25.3% | 22.3% |
| Edge | +4.9% | -2.2% | -2.7% |
Why KFUM Oslo
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.52 vs 1.12.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices KFUM Oslo below our published probability: +4.9 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 2.01, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +5.3% per unit staked (our 52.4% × 2.01 − 1).
KFUM Oslo vs Ham-Kam match preview
KFUM Oslo enters this match with a strong probability of winning at 67%, while Ham-Kam has a 14% chance of victory. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1 in favor of KFUM Oslo, with an expected goals tally of 2.41 for them compared to 1.05 for Ham-Kam. Additionally, there is a 67% likelihood of over 2.5 goals being scored, and both teams are expected to score in 60% of the scenarios.
In terms of recent form, KFUM Oslo has shown resilience with a record of D-W-W-W-W-L, while Ham-Kam struggles with L-L-W-L-W-L. The head-to-head record from the last three encounters shows KFUM Oslo with no wins, two draws, and one loss to Ham-Kam. The confidence grade for this match stands at C, indicating a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
KFUM Oslo and Ham-Kam expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.63
KFUM Oslo and Ham-Kam attack and defence ratings
KFUM Oslo
Ham-Kam
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 25 fixtures
Before and after this match
KFUM Oslo vs Ham-Kam markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | KFUM Oslo | 52.4% | 1.91 | +4.9% | 2.01 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70.3% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.6% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.7% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | KFUM Oslo win | 46.2% | 2.16 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | KFUM Oslo | 52.4% |
| Draw | 25.3% | |
| Ham-Kam | 22.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 29.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.6% |
| No | 37.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 47.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | KFUM Oslo win | 46.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.8% | |
| Loss | 33.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 9.3% |
| 2-0 | 8.4% | |
| 1-1 | 8.2% |
KFUM Oslo vs Ham-Kam stats
KFUM Oslo and Ham-Kam recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
KFUM Oslo and Ham-Kam season so far
KFUM Oslo record
- They have won 8 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 23 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
Ham-Kam record
- They have won 7 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 23 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
KFUM Oslo vs Ham-Kam head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-19 | Ham-Kam | KFUM Oslo | Eliteserien | 4-0 |
| 2025-08-22 | KFUM Oslo | Ham-Kam | Eliteserien | 2-2 |
| 2025-05-02 | Ham-Kam | KFUM Oslo | Eliteserien | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
KFUM Oslo vs Ham-Kam odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 47.5%, draw 27.5%, away 25.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.97 | 3.59 | 3.82 |
| Betano | 2.00 | 3.25 | 3.80 |
| Betfair | 1.95 | 3.60 | 3.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.99 | 3.35 | 3.75 |
| Marathonbet | 1.92 | 3.50 | 3.72 |
| Pinnacle | 2.01 | 3.38 | 3.90 |
| William Hill | 1.95 | 3.40 | 3.30 |