Kristiansund BK
vs
KFUM Oslo
Garuda Lions Prediction: KFUM Oslo
1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.99 vs 1.35.
- RiskGrade C: weaker evidence — both clubs are rated on goals scored and conceded, not on the chances they created.
Kristiansund BK vs KFUM Oslo overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Kristiansund BK vs KFUM Oslo
| Probability | Kristiansund BK | Draw | KFUM Oslo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 25.1% | 23.7% | 51.2% |
| Market | 40.4% | 26.6% | 33.0% |
| Final | 36.6% | 25.8% | 37.5% |
| Edge | -3.8% | -0.7% | +4.6% |
Why KFUM Oslo
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.99 vs 1.35.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices KFUM Oslo below our published probability: +4.6 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 2.99, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +12.3% per unit staked (our 37.5% × 2.99 − 1).
Kristiansund BK vs KFUM Oslo match preview
Kristiansund BK faces KFUM Oslo in an Eliteserien match on October 25, 2026. The probabilities indicate a closely contested fixture, with Kristiansund BK at 37% to win, a draw at 26%, and KFUM Oslo slightly favored at 38%. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 1-2, with a 9% likelihood. Both teams are expected to score, and there is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals in the match.
In terms of recent form, Kristiansund BK has struggled, recording three losses in their last five matches, while KFUM Oslo has shown better consistency with four wins in their last six games. The expected goals suggest Kristiansund BK will generate 1.35, while KFUM Oslo is forecasted to achieve 1.99, indicating a potential advantage for the visitors.
Kristiansund BK and KFUM Oslo team news
Kristiansund BK news
- I. H. Aalberg — groin injury
KFUM Oslo news
- A. Aleesami — groin injury
- A. Nouri — injury
- J. Flaten — injury
- J. Gonstad — knee injury
- M. Eikrem — injury
- P. Meliga — inactive
Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider. Confirmed line-ups appear ~40 minutes before kickoff.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Kristiansund BK and KFUM Oslo expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.34
Kristiansund BK and KFUM Oslo attack and defence ratings
Kristiansund BK
KFUM Oslo
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Kristiansund BK vs KFUM Oslo markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | KFUM Oslo | 37.5% | 2.66 | +4.6% | 2.99 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.8% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.9% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.2% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 48.8% | 2.05 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kristiansund BK | 36.6% |
| Draw | 25.8% | |
| KFUM Oslo | 37.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 35.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.9% |
| No | 35.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 62.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 63.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | KFUM Oslo win | 30.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.9% | |
| Loss | 48.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.5% |
| 1-2 | 9.5% | |
| 0-2 | 7.0% |
Kristiansund BK vs KFUM Oslo stats
Kristiansund BK and KFUM Oslo recent form
| Kristiansund BK |
LLLWLW |
| KFUM Oslo |
DWWWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Kristiansund BK and KFUM Oslo season so far
Kristiansund BK record
- They have won 5 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 23 matches.
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
KFUM Oslo record
- They have won 8 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 23 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
Kristiansund BK vs KFUM Oslo head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 | KFUM Oslo | Kristiansund BK | Eliteserien | 2-1 |
| 2025-10-19 | KFUM Oslo | Kristiansund BK | Eliteserien | 1-1 |
| 2025-07-26 | Kristiansund BK | KFUM Oslo | Eliteserien | 0-5 |
| 2025-02-15 | KFUM Oslo | Kristiansund BK | Friendlies Clubs | 0-0 |
| 2024-11-23 | KFUM Oslo | Kristiansund BK | Eliteserien | 1-2 |
| 2024-04-07 | Kristiansund BK | KFUM Oslo | Eliteserien | 1-1 |
| 2023-09-30 | Kristiansund BK | KFUM Oslo | 1. Division | 0-2 |
| 2023-06-04 | KFUM Oslo | Kristiansund BK | 1. Division | 2-0 |
| 2021-09-22 | KFUM Oslo | Kristiansund BK | NM Cupen | 3-1 |
| 2016-09-11 | Kristiansund BK | KFUM Oslo | 1. Division | 3-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Kristiansund BK vs KFUM Oslo odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 40.3%, draw 26.7%, away 33.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.36 | 3.54 | 2.93 |
| Bet365 | 2.30 | 3.60 | 2.80 |
| BetVictor | 2.25 | 3.40 | 2.80 |
| Betano | 2.37 | 3.40 | 2.82 |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 3.60 | 2.80 |
| Dafabet | 2.40 | 3.50 | 2.85 |
| Marathonbet | 2.30 | 3.45 | 2.85 |
| Pinnacle | 2.42 | 3.50 | 2.99 |
| SBO | 2.11 | 3.17 | 2.76 |
| William Hill | 2.30 | 3.25 | 2.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .