Ham-Kam
vs
Rosenborg
Garuda Lions Prediction: Rosenborg
1 – 3 Predicted score · 7% model probability
Ham-Kam vs Rosenborg overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Ham-Kam vs Rosenborg
| Probability | Ham-Kam | Draw | Rosenborg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 15.8% | 16.0% | 68.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 15.8% | 16.0% | 68.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Rosenborg
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.09 vs 1.54.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Ham-Kam vs Rosenborg match preview
Ham-Kam will face Rosenborg in the Eliteserien on October 24, 2026. According to our model, Ham-Kam has a 16% chance of winning, while Rosenborg holds a dominant 68% probability. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 1-3 in favor of Rosenborg, with an expected goals tally of 1.54 for Ham-Kam and 3.09 for Rosenborg.
In terms of recent form, Ham-Kam has recorded two wins and four losses in their last six matches, while Rosenborg has achieved four wins, one draw, and one loss. The head-to-head record over the last nine encounters shows Ham-Kam with two wins, one draw, and Rosenborg with six victories. Our model indicates a high likelihood of over 2.5 goals at 84% and both teams scoring at 75%.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Ham-Kam and Rosenborg expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.63
Ham-Kam and Rosenborg attack and defence ratings
Ham-Kam
Rosenborg
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Ham-Kam vs Rosenborg markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rosenborg | 68.2% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 84.0% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 75.4% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 84.2% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Rosenborg win | 49.9% | 2.00 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ham-Kam | 15.8% |
| Draw | 16.0% | |
| Rosenborg | 68.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 84.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 16.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 75.4% |
| No | 24.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 31.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 84.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 84.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Rosenborg win | 49.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.3% | |
| Loss | 31.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-3 | 7.4% |
| 1-2 | 7.2% | |
| 1-4 | 5.7% |
Ham-Kam vs Rosenborg stats
Ham-Kam and Rosenborg recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Ham-Kam and Rosenborg season so far
Ham-Kam record
- They have won 7 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 22 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 22 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Rosenborg record
- They have won 10 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 22 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 22 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
Ham-Kam vs Rosenborg head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Rosenborg | Ham-Kam | Eliteserien | 4-0 |
| 2025-09-28 | Ham-Kam | Rosenborg | Eliteserien | 4-0 |
| 2025-07-13 | Rosenborg | Ham-Kam | Eliteserien | 2-0 |
| 2024-11-10 | Ham-Kam | Rosenborg | Eliteserien | 0-2 |
| 2024-04-14 | Rosenborg | Ham-Kam | Eliteserien | 1-0 |
| 2023-08-20 | Ham-Kam | Rosenborg | Eliteserien | 3-0 |
| 2023-06-04 | Rosenborg | Ham-Kam | Eliteserien | 4-0 |
| 2022-08-06 | Rosenborg | Ham-Kam | Eliteserien | 2-1 |
| 2022-05-22 | Ham-Kam | Rosenborg | Eliteserien | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.