NM Cupen · Full time ·Round of 32

Rosenborg vs Ham-Kam

1 – 2 Full time

39′E. K. Ceide
44′H. Opsahl
46′A. ChiakhaD. Islamovic
46′A. TrondsenL. Mares
46′D. Al SaedD. Benjamin
49′M. Kjolo
56′D. MoreiraH. Udahl
57′J. Barros
61′A. PereiraT. Dahl
61′I. FossumO. Selnaes
71′J. SvenssonJ. Mortensen
72′D. Benjamin
73′J. Mortensen
79′N. SahsahJ. Reitan-Sunde
80′V. Jonsson
84′V. Jonsson
86′O. Selnaes
86′A. Potur
88′A. PoturW. Osnes-Ringen
88′V. JonssonS. Nilsen
90′T. Nemcik

Lerkendal Stadion, TrondheimReferee: T. Hansen

Rosenborg 70%
Draw 17%
Ham-Kam 13%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Rosenborg vs Ham-Kam overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Rosenborg vs Ham-Kam

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityRosenborgDrawHam-Kam
Model49.5%25.2%25.3%
Market77.0%14.5%8.5%
Final70.1%17.2%12.7%
Edge-6.9%+2.7%+4.2%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Rosenborg

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.80 vs 1.25.
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Rosenborg ↓ / Ham-Kam → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 12% 7% 2 8% 10% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 82%
3+ goals 59%
No goals 6%

Rosenborg and Ham-Kam expected goals

Rosenborg 1.80
Ham-Kam 1.25

Total expected goals: 3.05

Rosenborg and Ham-Kam attack and defence ratings

Rosenborg

Attack 1.31 +31%
Defence 0.54 -46%

Ham-Kam

Attack 0.71 -29%
Defence 0.99 -1%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Rosenborg vs Ham-Kam: result vs prediction

Rosenborg 1 – 2 Ham-Kam

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Round of 32 fixtures

NM Cupen

Before and after this match

Rosenborg vs Ham-Kam markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Rosenborg 70.1% 1.43 -6.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 58.8% 1.70 — —
Both teams to score Yes 60.6% 1.65 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 87.3% 1.15 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 50.6% 1.98 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Rosenborg70.1%
Draw17.2%
Ham-Kam12.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.558.8%
Under 2.541.2%
Both teams to scoreYes60.6%
No39.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)87.3%
12 (either side)82.8%
X2 (draw or away)29.9%
Handicap -1Rosenborg win28.0%
Push (exactly one goal)21.4%
Loss50.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.7%
2-19.6%
2-07.7%

Rosenborg vs Ham-Kam stats

Rosenborg and Ham-Kam recent form

newest first
Rosenborg WWDWWW
Ham-Kam LLWLWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Rosenborg vs Ham-Kam head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

7Rosenborg wins 1Draws 2Ham-Kam wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-10-24Ham-KamRosenborgEliteserien0-3
2026-09-05RosenborgHam-KamEliteserien4-0
2025-09-28Ham-KamRosenborgEliteserien4-0
2025-07-13RosenborgHam-KamEliteserien2-0
2024-11-10Ham-KamRosenborgEliteserien0-2
2024-04-14RosenborgHam-KamEliteserien1-0
2023-08-20Ham-KamRosenborgEliteserien3-0
2023-06-04RosenborgHam-KamEliteserien4-0
2022-08-06RosenborgHam-KamEliteserien2-1
2022-05-22Ham-KamRosenborgEliteserien1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Rosenborg vs Ham-Kam odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 77.0%, draw 14.5%, away 8.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.19 6.35 11.90
Bet365 1.20 6.25 10.00
BetVictor 1.18 6.50 11.50
Betano 1.23 6.30 10.00
Betfair 1.15 6.50 10.50
Dafabet 1.21 6.60 11.00
Marathonbet 1.18 6.35 12.00
Pinnacle 1.21 6.90 10.54
SBO 1.18 5.70 8.49
William Hill 1.20 5.80 11.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.19 ▼ -0.03
X 6.35 ▲ +0.30
2 10.77 ▲ +0.77

5 snapshots recorded, from .