Pors Grenland
vs
Kongsvinger
3 – 1 Full time
| 23′ | E. Gayi | ||
| 43′ | A. Bakeng-Rogne | ||
| 46′ | M. SandeF. Christensen | ||
| 46′ | M. Kiste-Johnsen | ||
| 58′ | E. Olawore | ||
| 60′ | F. Christensen | ||
| 61′ | E. NielsenP. Udnaes | ||
| 61′ | A. DybevikA. Chaminta | ||
| 64′ | C. DankwahM. Mauset | ||
| 65′ | S. Ostby | ||
| 80′ | M. Kiste-JohnsenJ. Lindvig | ||
| 85′ | G. JohnsonA. Hansen | ||
| 85′ | S. NorheimL. Hovland | ||
| 86′ | S. MladenovicM. Lewis | ||
| 92′ | M. MbowS. Elmi | ||
| 102′ | M. Lewis | ||
| 109′ | J. Lindvig | ||
| 120′ | A. Bakeng-RogneM. Bruu |
Pors Grenland vs Kongsvinger overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Pors Grenland vs Kongsvinger
| Probability | Pors Grenland | Draw | Kongsvinger |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 6.7% | 10.3% | 83.0% |
| Market | 20.8% | 21.3% | 57.9% |
| Final | 17.3% | 18.6% | 64.2% |
| Edge | -3.5% | -2.7% | +6.3% |
Why Kongsvinger
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.72 vs 1.13.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Kongsvinger below our published probability: +6.3 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Pors Grenland and Kongsvinger expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.86
Pors Grenland and Kongsvinger attack and defence ratings
Pors Grenland
Kongsvinger
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Pors Grenland vs Kongsvinger: result vs prediction
Pors Grenland 3 – 1 Kongsvinger
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Round of 32 fixtures
Before and after this match
Pors Grenland vs Kongsvinger markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kongsvinger | 64.2% | 1.56 | +6.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 86.3% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.6% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 82.7% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Kongsvinger win | 68.2% | 1.47 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Pors Grenland | 17.3% |
| Draw | 18.6% | |
| Kongsvinger | 64.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 86.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 13.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.6% |
| No | 33.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 35.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 81.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 82.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Kongsvinger win | 68.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 14.9% | |
| Loss | 17.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-3 | 7.6% |
| 1-4 | 7.1% | |
| 0-3 | 6.7% |
Pors Grenland vs Kongsvinger stats
Pors Grenland and Kongsvinger recent form
| Pors Grenland |
WWL |
| Kongsvinger |
LWLWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 3 completed matches.
Pors Grenland vs Kongsvinger head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Pors Grenland vs Kongsvinger odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 20.8%, draw 21.3%, away 57.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.58 | 4.30 | 1.59 |
| Bet365 | 4.33 | 4.10 | 1.55 |
| BetVictor | 4.50 | 4.40 | 1.57 |
| Betano | 4.40 | 4.20 | 1.60 |
| Betfair | 4.40 | 4.33 | 1.55 |
| Dafabet | 4.40 | 4.40 | 1.62 |
| Marathonbet | 4.60 | 4.30 | 1.57 |
| Pinnacle | 4.32 | 4.29 | 1.59 |
| SBO | 4.12 | 4.04 | 1.52 |
| William Hill | 4.40 | 3.80 | 1.62 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .