NM Cupen · Full time ·Round of 32

Ranheim vs Fredrikstad

2 – 5 Full time

9′B. Faraas
15′O. Holden
20′D. Eid
52′B. Faraas
54′H. Skogvold
58′M. Johnsen
58′J. Jezierski
60′M. JohnsenE. Solberg
60′G. MogensenA. Fossli
60′N. PallasH. Gangstad
64′B. FaraasS. Laghzaoui
64′I. AmundsenS. Sorlokk
64′M. NilssonS. Leach
72′F. GhebreyohannesL. West
73′S. SjovoldL. Skammelsrud
73′F. NyenetueS. Haugland
76′H. Gangstad
82′H. SkogvoldG. Wesseh
86′E. Solberg
89′G. Wesseh

EXTRA Arena, TrondheimReferee: S. Sletner

Ranheim 24%
Draw 23%
Fredrikstad 53%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Ranheim vs Fredrikstad overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Ranheim vs Fredrikstad

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityRanheimDrawFredrikstad
Model22.9%22.7%54.4%
Market24.8%22.9%52.3%
Final24.3%22.9%52.9%
Edge-0.5%-0.0%+0.5%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Fredrikstad

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.10 vs 1.32.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Ranheim ↓ / Fredrikstad → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 7% 5% 1 10% 10% 7% 6% 2 6% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 87%
3+ goals 67%
No goals 4%

Ranheim and Fredrikstad expected goals

Ranheim 1.32
Fredrikstad 2.10

Total expected goals: 3.43

Ranheim and Fredrikstad attack and defence ratings

Ranheim

Attack 1.18 +18%
Defence 0.88 -12%

Fredrikstad

Attack 0.74 -26%
Defence 0.81 -19%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Ranheim vs Fredrikstad: result vs prediction

Ranheim 2 – 5 Fredrikstad

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Round of 32 fixtures

NM Cupen

Before and after this match

Ranheim vs Fredrikstad markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Fredrikstad 52.9% 1.89 +0.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 66.5% 1.50 — —
Both teams to score Yes 65.3% 1.53 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 77.1% 1.30 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 45.5% 2.20 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Ranheim24.3%
Draw22.9%
Fredrikstad52.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.566.5%
Under 2.533.5%
Both teams to scoreYes65.3%
No34.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)47.1%
12 (either side)77.1%
X2 (draw or away)75.7%
Handicap -1Fredrikstad win33.4%
Push (exactly one goal)21.0%
Loss45.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-19.9%
1-29.5%
0-27.2%

Ranheim vs Fredrikstad stats

Ranheim and Fredrikstad recent form

newest first
Ranheim WWDLWW
Fredrikstad LLDDWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Ranheim vs Fredrikstad head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Ranheim wins 3Draws 3Fredrikstad wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2023-09-23RanheimFredrikstad1. Division1-2
2023-07-02FredrikstadRanheim1. Division4-0
2022-08-14FredrikstadRanheim1. Division1-1
2022-05-29RanheimFredrikstad1. Division3-2
2021-11-27FredrikstadRanheim1. Division3-1
2021-07-02RanheimFredrikstad1. Division1-1
2017-10-24FredrikstadRanheim1. Division1-2
2017-05-13RanheimFredrikstad1. Division1-0
2016-10-02FredrikstadRanheim1. Division1-7
2016-06-29RanheimFredrikstad1. Division0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Ranheim vs Fredrikstad odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 24.8%, draw 22.9%, away 52.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.78 4.00 1.77
Bet365 3.70 3.80 1.73
BetVictor 3.80 4.00 1.75
Betano 3.65 4.00 1.80
Betfair 3.60 4.00 1.73
Dafabet 3.75 4.00 1.80
Marathonbet 3.78 4.00 1.75
Pinnacle 3.70 3.91 1.76
SBO 3.37 3.58 1.75
William Hill 3.70 3.70 1.75

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.70 ▼ -0.05
X 4.00 —
2 1.75 —

4 snapshots recorded, from .