NM Cupen · Full time ·Round of 32

Kristiansund BK vs Aalesund

0 – 2 Full time

33′U. Charles
38′S. Vecchia
49′U. Charles
59′S. VecchiaM. Christensen
59′U. CharlesS. Kartum
61′J. IsaksenS. Skeide
61′M. ElviusH. Bruseth
61′A. RonningS. Svendsen
61′G. ChristensenD. Tufekcic
64′L. Alvheim
67′D. TufekcicA. Borset
76′I. SkotheimD. Mbacke
76′P. AuklandA. Kjelsen
88′E. OsenbrochI. Djantou
89′J. Orsahl
90′S. Kartum
90′J. Juliusson

Kristiansund Stadion, KristiansundReferee: J. Haugen

Kristiansund BK 34%
Draw 21%
Aalesund 46%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Kristiansund BK vs Aalesund overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Kristiansund BK vs Aalesund

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityKristiansund BKDrawAalesund
Model4.9%8.9%86.2%
Market43.1%24.7%32.2%
Final33.5%20.8%45.7%
Edge-9.5%-4.0%+13.5%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Aalesund

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.83 vs 0.98.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Aalesund below our published probability: +13.5 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Kristiansund B ↓ / Aalesund → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 20% 1 20% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 99%
2+ goals 96%
3+ goals 86%
No goals 1%

Kristiansund BK and Aalesund expected goals

Kristiansund BK 0.98
Aalesund 3.83

Total expected goals: 4.81

Kristiansund BK and Aalesund attack and defence ratings

Kristiansund BK

Attack 0.73 -27%
Defence 1.03 +3%

Aalesund

Attack 1.15 +15%
Defence 0.96 -4%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Kristiansund BK vs Aalesund: result vs prediction

Kristiansund BK 0 – 2 Aalesund

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Round of 32 fixtures

NM Cupen

Before and after this match

Kristiansund BK vs Aalesund markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Aalesund 45.7% 2.19 +13.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 85.8% 1.17 — —
Both teams to score Yes 61.5% 1.63 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 79.2% 1.26 — —
Handicap -1 Aalesund win 72.4% 1.38 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Kristiansund BK33.5%
Draw20.8%
Aalesund45.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.585.8%
Under 2.514.2%
Both teams to scoreYes61.5%
No38.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)54.3%
12 (either side)79.2%
X2 (draw or away)66.5%
Handicap -1Aalesund win72.4%
Push (exactly one goal)13.8%
Loss13.8%
Correct score (top 3)0-37.6%
1-37.5%
0-47.3%

Kristiansund BK vs Aalesund stats

Kristiansund BK and Aalesund recent form

newest first
Kristiansund BK DLLLWL
Aalesund LWLWWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Kristiansund BK vs Aalesund head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Kristiansund BK wins 2Draws 5Aalesund wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-10-17Kristiansund BKAalesundEliteserien1-4
2026-06-27Kristiansund BKAalesundFriendlies Clubs0-3
2026-04-26AalesundKristiansund BKEliteserien1-1
2026-01-30AalesundKristiansund BKFriendlies Clubs1-0
2025-03-23Kristiansund BKAalesundFriendlies Clubs2-1
2024-03-24Kristiansund BKAalesundFriendlies Clubs1-1
2024-02-16AalesundKristiansund BKFriendlies Clubs1-3
2023-04-02AalesundKristiansund BKFriendlies Clubs1-0
2022-10-30Kristiansund BKAalesundEliteserien4-0
2022-04-03AalesundKristiansund BKEliteserien1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Kristiansund BK vs Aalesund odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 43.1%, draw 24.7%, away 32.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.15 3.80 2.85
Bet365 2.10 3.60 2.90
BetVictor 2.15 3.75 2.88
Betano 2.18 3.70 2.92
Betfair 2.10 3.80 2.70
Dafabet 2.18 3.75 2.90
Marathonbet 2.13 3.80 2.83
Pinnacle 2.19 3.69 2.96
SBO 2.03 3.43 2.74
William Hill 2.10 3.40 2.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.14 ▼ -0.01
X 3.73 ▼ -0.07
2 2.87 ▲ +0.07

5 snapshots recorded, from .