NM Cupen · Full time ·Round of 32

Egersund vs Bryne

1 – 0 Full time

27′R. Gyamfi
36′S. Vatne
45′C. Sleveland
65′J. EkelandP. Hovland
65′N. TornvigH. Hardarson
78′R. GyamfiS. R. Michalsen
78′L. SodalM. Lye
78′S. T. JonassenL. Fajfric
88′T. EngebakkenK. Haland
88′L. QvigstadA. Hermansen
88′H. TadesseB. Baxter
90′D. Johannsson

XL-BYGG Sorvest ArenaReferee: S. Hauge

Egersund 39%
Draw 22%
Bryne 39%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Egersund vs Bryne overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Egersund vs Bryne

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityEgersundDrawBryne
Model8.3%15.6%76.1%
Market49.2%23.9%26.9%
Final39.0%21.8%39.2%
Edge-10.2%-2.1%+12.3%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Bryne

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.69 vs 0.83.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Bryne below our published probability: +12.3 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Egersund ↓ / Bryne → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 11% 10% 12% 1 7% 9% 8% 10% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 87%
3+ goals 68%
No goals 4%

Egersund and Bryne expected goals

Egersund 0.83
Bryne 2.69

Total expected goals: 3.52

Egersund and Bryne attack and defence ratings

Egersund

Attack 0.81 -19%
Defence 0.97 -3%

Bryne

Attack 0.86 -14%
Defence 0.73 -27%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Egersund vs Bryne: result vs prediction

Egersund 1 – 0 Bryne

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Round of 32 fixtures

NM Cupen

Before and after this match

Egersund vs Bryne markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Bryne 39.2% 2.55 +12.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 68.3% 1.46 — —
Both teams to score Yes 53.1% 1.88 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 78.2% 1.28 — —
Handicap -1 Bryne win 55.9% 1.79 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Egersund39.0%
Draw21.8%
Bryne39.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.568.3%
Under 2.531.7%
Both teams to scoreYes53.1%
No46.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)60.8%
12 (either side)78.2%
X2 (draw or away)61.0%
Handicap -1Bryne win55.9%
Push (exactly one goal)20.2%
Loss23.9%
Correct score (top 3)0-210.7%
0-39.6%
1-28.9%

Egersund vs Bryne stats

Egersund and Bryne recent form

newest first
Egersund DDDWLL
Bryne DLDLWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Egersund vs Bryne head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Egersund wins 2Draws 6Bryne wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-10-25BryneEgersundNorway 1. Division3-3
2026-04-19EgersundBryneNorway 1. Division1-0
2026-03-28EgersundBryneFriendlies Clubs4-3
2025-03-23BryneEgersundFriendlies Clubs1-1
2024-11-02BryneEgersund1. Division2-1
2024-07-20EgersundBryne1. Division0-2
2024-02-17BryneEgersundFriendlies Clubs5-2
2022-03-18BryneEgersundFriendlies Clubs2-0
2020-11-21BryneEgersund2. Division - Group 22-1
2020-08-08BryneEgersund2. Division - Group 22-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Egersund vs Bryne odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 49.2%, draw 23.9%, away 26.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.85 3.80 3.63
Bet365 1.83 3.70 3.40
BetVictor 1.87 3.90 3.40
Betano 1.91 3.95 3.30
Betfair 1.85 3.90 3.30
Dafabet 1.91 3.90 3.45
Marathonbet 1.83 3.80 3.62
Pinnacle 1.87 3.87 3.35
SBO 1.92 3.34 3.04
William Hill 1.85 3.50 3.40

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.86 ▼ -0.14
X 3.83 ▲ +0.11
2 3.40 ▲ +0.35

4 snapshots recorded, from .