Egersund
vs
Strommen
Garuda Lions Prediction: Egersund
2 – 1 Predicted score · 6% model probability
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Egersund is the favourite, not a value bet.
Egersund vs Strommen overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Egersund vs Strommen
| Probability | Egersund | Draw | Strommen |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34.0% | 20.2% | 45.9% |
| Market | 49.4% | 23.8% | 26.8% |
| Final | 45.5% | 22.9% | 31.6% |
| Edge | -3.9% | -0.9% | +4.8% |
Best available price on the pick: 1.88, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -14.4% per unit staked (our 45.5% × 1.88 − 1).
Egersund vs Strommen match preview
Egersund faces Strommen in a Norway 1. Division matchup on November 1, 2026. Egersund has a 46% probability of winning, while Strommen stands at 32%, with a 23% chance of a draw. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 2-1 in favor of Egersund, with an 83% chance of over 2.5 goals and an 81% likelihood that both teams will score. Expected goals are 2.12 for Egersund and 2.44 for Strommen.
In terms of recent form, Egersund has recorded three draws and two losses in their last five matches, while Strommen has achieved three wins, a draw, and a loss. The head-to-head record shows Egersund with one win against Strommen's zero in their last encounter. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating moderate certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Egersund and Strommen expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.56
Egersund and Strommen attack and defence ratings
Egersund
Strommen
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 29 fixtures
Before and after this match
Egersund vs Strommen markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Egersund | 45.5% | 2.20 | -3.9% | 1.88 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 83.3% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 80.9% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 77.1% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 66.0% | 1.51 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Egersund | 45.5% |
| Draw | 22.9% | |
| Strommen | 31.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 83.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 16.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 80.9% |
| No | 19.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 54.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Egersund win | 18.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 15.1% | |
| Loss | 66.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-2 | 7.0% |
| 1-2 | 6.6% | |
| 1-1 | 5.9% |
Egersund vs Strommen stats
Egersund and Strommen recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Egersund and Strommen season so far
Egersund record
- They have won 9 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).
Strommen record
- They have won 9 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Egersund vs Strommen head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | Strommen | Egersund | Norway 1. Division | 0-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Egersund vs Strommen odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 49.4%, draw 23.8%, away 26.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.88 | 3.88 | 3.45 |
| Betano | 1.88 | 3.80 | 3.50 |
| Betfair | 1.80 | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.86 | 3.88 | 3.44 |
| Pinnacle | 1.88 | 3.94 | 3.55 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.60 | 3.40 |