ODD Ballklubb
vs
Sandnes ULF
Garuda Lions Prediction: ODD Ballklubb
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.76 vs 1.27.
- RiskGrade C: weaker evidence — both clubs are rated on goals scored and conceded, not on the chances they created.
ODD Ballklubb vs Sandnes ULF overview
Garuda Lions analysis: ODD Ballklubb vs Sandnes ULF
| Probability | ODD Ballklubb | Draw | Sandnes ULF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 68.0% | 17.4% | 14.6% |
| Market | 55.0% | 19.5% | 25.4% |
| Final | 58.3% | 19.0% | 22.7% |
| Edge | +3.3% | -0.5% | -2.7% |
Why ODD Ballklubb
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.76 vs 1.27.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices ODD Ballklubb below our published probability: +3.3 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 1.75, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +2.0% per unit staked (our 58.3% × 1.75 − 1).
ODD Ballklubb vs Sandnes ULF match preview
ODD Ballklubb enters this match with a strong probability of winning at 73%, bolstered by recent form of five wins in their last six matches. Their expected goals are significantly higher at 3.00 compared to Sandnes ULF's 1.21, indicating a dominant offensive performance. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1, occurring with an 8% probability.
On the other hand, Sandnes ULF has struggled recently, with only one win in their last six matches, resulting in a 12% chance of victory. The model suggests a high likelihood of over 2.5 goals at 79% and a 67% chance for both teams to score, reflecting an expectation for an engaging match. The head-to-head record favors ODD Ballklubb, having won their last encounter.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
ODD Ballklubb and Sandnes ULF expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.02
ODD Ballklubb and Sandnes ULF attack and defence ratings
ODD Ballklubb
Sandnes ULF
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 29 fixtures
Before and after this match
ODD Ballklubb vs Sandnes ULF markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | ODD Ballklubb | 58.3% | 1.72 | +3.3% | 1.75 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 76.5% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.9% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 81.0% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | ODD Ballklubb win | 48.3% | 2.07 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | ODD Ballklubb | 58.3% |
| Draw | 19.0% | |
| Sandnes ULF | 22.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 76.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 23.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.9% |
| No | 32.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 81.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 41.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | ODD Ballklubb win | 48.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.7% | |
| Loss | 32.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 8.6% |
| 3-1 | 7.9% | |
| 1-1 | 6.9% |
ODD Ballklubb vs Sandnes ULF stats
ODD Ballklubb and Sandnes ULF recent form
| ODD Ballklubb |
LLWWWW |
| Sandnes ULF |
WLLDDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
ODD Ballklubb and Sandnes ULF season so far
ODD Ballklubb record
- They have won 13 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
Sandnes ULF record
- They have won 7 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
ODD Ballklubb vs Sandnes ULF head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | Sandnes ULF | ODD Ballklubb | Norway 1. Division | 1-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
ODD Ballklubb vs Sandnes ULF odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 55.0%, draw 19.5%, away 25.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.67 | 4.80 | 3.67 |
| Betano | 1.75 | 4.45 | 3.55 |
| Betfair | 1.60 | 4.60 | 3.90 |
| Marathonbet | 1.65 | 4.80 | 3.68 |
| Pinnacle | 1.73 | 5.12 | 3.39 |
| William Hill | 1.67 | 4.50 | 3.40 |