Asane
vs
Haugesund
Garuda Lions Prediction: Haugesund
1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.53 vs 1.40.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Haugesund is the favourite, not a value bet.
Asane vs Haugesund overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Asane vs Haugesund
| Probability | Asane | Draw | Haugesund |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 19.3% | 19.6% | 61.2% |
| Market | 15.2% | 17.4% | 67.4% |
| Final | 16.2% | 18.0% | 65.8% |
| Edge | +1.0% | +0.5% | -1.6% |
Why Haugesund
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.53 vs 1.40.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.40, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -7.9% per unit staked (our 65.8% × 1.40 − 1).
Asane vs Haugesund match preview
Asane faces Haugesund in an upcoming Norway 1. Division match, with kickoff scheduled for November 1, 2026. According to our model, Asane has a 15% chance of winning, while Haugesund is favored at 67%. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 1-2, with a 9% probability. The expected goals for Asane stand at 1.27, compared to Haugesund's 2.70, indicating a potential advantage for the visitors.
Recent form shows Asane struggling with a record of L-L-W-L-L-D, while Haugesund has been more successful with W-L-W-D-W-W. The model suggests a high likelihood of over 2.5 goals at 76% and both teams scoring at 68%. The confidence grade for this matchup is C, reflecting a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Asane and Haugesund expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.93
Asane and Haugesund attack and defence ratings
Asane
Haugesund
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 29 fixtures
Before and after this match
Asane vs Haugesund markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Haugesund | 65.8% | 1.52 | -1.6% | 1.40 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75.1% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 70.1% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 83.8% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Haugesund win | 41.0% | 2.44 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Asane | 16.2% |
| Draw | 18.0% | |
| Haugesund | 65.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 24.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 70.1% |
| No | 29.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 34.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 82.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 83.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Haugesund win | 41.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.1% | |
| Loss | 38.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-2 | 8.8% |
| 1-1 | 7.7% | |
| 1-3 | 7.4% |
Asane vs Haugesund stats
Asane and Haugesund recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Asane and Haugesund season so far
Asane record
- They have won 6 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 27 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Haugesund record
- They have won 19 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 2.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
Asane vs Haugesund head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | Haugesund | Asane | Norway 1. Division | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Asane vs Haugesund odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 15.2%, draw 17.4%, away 67.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 6.10 | 5.40 | 1.37 |
| Betano | 5.90 | 5.10 | 1.40 |
| Betfair | 6.00 | 5.00 | 1.30 |
| Marathonbet | 6.05 | 5.40 | 1.36 |
| Pinnacle | 6.19 | 5.72 | 1.36 |
| William Hill | 5.80 | 5.00 | 1.36 |