NM Cupen · Full time ·Round of 32

Tromso vs Haugesund

3 – 2 Full time

7′L. Hien
20′I. Dahlqvist
34′L. Hien
62′H. LarsenD. Braut
62′L. O. LarsenV. Erlien
62′M. BjorloJ. Grundt
62′B. LeiteS. Nilsen
63′E. AndersenE. Rohd
63′I. SeoneS. Diarra
63′L. RemmemN. Sandberg
74′A. Grindhaug
75′P. E. LieV. Solheim
87′R. Schifferl
88′S. Nilsen
90′D. Edvardsson
90′R. Schifferl
90′R. Jenssen

Romssa ArenaReferee: M. Hafezi

Tromso 63%
Draw 13%
Haugesund 25%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Tromso vs Haugesund overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Tromso vs Haugesund

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityTromsoDrawHaugesund
Model6.8%13.3%79.9%
Market81.3%12.4%6.3%
Final62.7%12.6%24.7%
Edge-18.6%+0.2%+18.4%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Tromso ↓ / Haugesund → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 9% 14% 1 8% 8% 12% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 90%
3+ goals 73%
No goals 3%

Tromso and Haugesund expected goals

Tromso 0.87
Haugesund 2.95

Total expected goals: 3.82

Tromso and Haugesund attack and defence ratings

Tromso

Attack 0.82 -18%
Defence 0.84 -16%

Haugesund

Attack 1.12 +12%
Defence 0.74 -26%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Tromso vs Haugesund: result vs prediction

Tromso 3 – 2 Haugesund

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Round of 32 fixtures

NM Cupen

Before and after this match

Tromso vs Haugesund markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Tromso 62.7% 1.59 -18.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 73.4% 1.36 — —
Both teams to score Yes 54.3% 1.84 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 87.4% 1.14 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 92.6% 1.08 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Tromso62.7%
Draw12.6%
Haugesund24.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.573.4%
Under 2.526.6%
Both teams to scoreYes54.3%
No45.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)75.3%
12 (either side)87.4%
X2 (draw or away)37.3%
Handicap -1Tromso win2.4%
Push (exactly one goal)5.1%
Loss92.6%
Correct score (top 3)0-29.8%
0-39.7%
1-28.2%

Tromso vs Haugesund stats

Tromso and Haugesund recent form

newest first
Tromso LDDWWL
Haugesund WLWDWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Tromso vs Haugesund head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

5Tromso wins 1Draws 3Haugesund wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-10-26HaugesundTromsoEliteserien2-3
2025-03-30TromsoHaugesundEliteserien1-0
2024-11-10HaugesundTromsoEliteserien2-0
2024-04-14TromsoHaugesundEliteserien0-1
2023-11-26TromsoHaugesundEliteserien2-1
2023-05-29HaugesundTromsoEliteserien1-2
2023-02-25TromsoHaugesundFriendlies Clubs3-2
2022-09-04HaugesundTromsoEliteserien2-1
2022-06-19TromsoHaugesundEliteserien1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Tromso vs Haugesund odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 81.3%, draw 12.4%, away 6.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.13 7.30 15.00
Bet365 1.12 8.00 12.00
BetVictor 1.13 7.50 15.00
Betano 1.15 7.10 14.50
Betfair 1.11 7.50 14.00
Dafabet 1.13 8.20 15.00
Marathonbet 1.13 7.30 15.25
Pinnacle 1.12 7.64 14.86
SBO 1.10 6.86 11.56
William Hill 1.17 6.00 13.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.13 ▼ -0.23
X 7.40 ▲ +2.45
2 14.68 ▲ +8.08

5 snapshots recorded, from .