Haugesund
vs
hodd
Garuda Lions Prediction: Haugesund
3 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability
Haugesund vs hodd overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Haugesund vs hodd
| Probability | Haugesund | Draw | hodd |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 73.0% | 14.6% | 12.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 73.0% | 14.6% | 12.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Haugesund
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.21 vs 1.37.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Haugesund vs hodd match preview
Haugesund enters this match with a strong probability of winning at 73%, while Hodd has a lower chance at 12%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 3-1 in favor of Haugesund, with an 84% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 72% chance that both teams will score. Expected goals for Haugesund stand at 3.21, compared to Hodd's 1.37.
In terms of recent form, Haugesund has recorded a sequence of results that includes four wins in their last six matches, while Hodd has struggled, with only one win in their last six outings. The last head-to-head encounter saw Haugesund secure a victory, maintaining a perfect record against Hodd with one win and no draws.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Haugesund and hodd expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.58
Haugesund and hodd attack and defence ratings
Haugesund
hodd
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 28 fixtures
Before and after this match
Haugesund vs hodd markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Haugesund | 73.0% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 83.5% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 72.0% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.6% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Haugesund win | 55.2% | 1.81 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Haugesund | 73.0% |
| Draw | 14.6% | |
| hodd | 12.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 83.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 16.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 72.0% |
| No | 28.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 85.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 27.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Haugesund win | 55.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.8% | |
| Loss | 27.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 3-1 | 7.8% |
| 2-1 | 7.2% | |
| 4-1 | 6.2% |
Haugesund vs hodd stats
Haugesund and hodd recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Haugesund and hodd season so far
Haugesund record
- They have won 19 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 3.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
hodd record
- They have won 10 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 7 penalties (86%).
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Haugesund vs hodd head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | hodd | Haugesund | Norway 1. Division | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.