hodd
vs
Raufoss
5 – 1 Full time
hodd vs Raufoss overview
Garuda Lions analysis: hodd vs Raufoss
| Probability | hodd | Draw | Raufoss |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 56.4% | 20.1% | 23.5% |
| Market | 51.0% | 23.9% | 25.1% |
| Final | 52.4% | 23.0% | 24.7% |
| Edge | +5.4% | -3.8% | -1.6% |
Why hodd
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.49 vs 1.60.
- The market prices hodd below the model: +5.4 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
hodd and Raufoss expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.09
hodd and Raufoss attack and defence ratings
hodd
Raufoss
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
hodd vs Raufoss: result vs prediction
hodd 5 – 1 Raufoss
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 27 fixtures
Before and after this match
hodd vs Raufoss markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | hodd | 52.4% | 1.91 | +5.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 77.5% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 73.9% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 77.0% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 43.4% | 2.30 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | hodd | 52.4% |
| Draw | 23.0% | |
| Raufoss | 24.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 77.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 22.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 73.9% |
| No | 26.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 47.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | hodd win | 37.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.6% | |
| Loss | 43.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 8.3% |
| 1-1 | 7.3% | |
| 3-1 | 6.9% |
hodd vs Raufoss stats
hodd and Raufoss recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
hodd and Raufoss going into this match
hodd record
- They have won 10 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 7 penalties (86%).
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Raufoss record
- They have won 6 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 25 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
hodd vs Raufoss head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | Raufoss | hodd | Norway 1. Division | 1-1 |
| 2025-08-30 | hodd | Raufoss | Norway 1. Division | 2-4 |
| 2025-06-21 | Raufoss | hodd | Norway 1. Division | 6-1 |
| 2023-10-29 | Raufoss | hodd | 1. Division | 0-1 |
| 2023-04-10 | hodd | Raufoss | 1. Division | 1-0 |
| 2016-08-21 | Raufoss | hodd | 1. Division | 2-0 |
| 2016-06-05 | hodd | Raufoss | 1. Division | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
hodd vs Raufoss odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 50.5%, draw 23.7%, away 25.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.82 | 3.86 | 3.69 |
| Bet365 | 1.75 | 3.75 | 3.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.83 | 3.90 | 3.70 |
| Betano | 1.85 | 3.95 | 3.55 |
| Betfair | 1.80 | 3.90 | 3.40 |
| Dafabet | 1.87 | 3.90 | 3.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.80 | 3.86 | 3.68 |
| Pinnacle | 1.85 | 4.03 | 3.85 |
| SBO | 1.86 | 3.43 | 3.12 |
| William Hill | 1.80 | 3.50 | 3.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
7 snapshots recorded, from .