Garuda Lions
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Norway 1. Division · Full time ·Matchday 27

Kongsvinger vs Sandnes ULF

4 – 0 Full time

Gjemselund Stadion, KongsvingerReferee: H. Nervik

Kongsvinger 75%
Draw 14%
Sandnes ULF 11%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Kongsvinger vs Sandnes ULF overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Kongsvinger vs Sandnes ULF

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityKongsvingerDrawSandnes ULF
Model84.8%8.5%6.7%
Market71.3%16.4%12.3%
Final74.7%14.4%10.9%
Edge+13.5%-7.9%-5.6%

Confidence: Low

Why Kongsvinger

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 4.48 vs 1.49.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Kongsvinger below the model: +13.5 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Kongsvinger ↓ / Sandnes ULF → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 2 3 4+ 15% 22% 16%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 100%
2+ goals 98%
3+ goals 94%
No goals 0%

Kongsvinger and Sandnes ULF expected goals

Kongsvinger 4.48
Sandnes ULF 1.49

Total expected goals: 5.97

Kongsvinger and Sandnes ULF attack and defence ratings

Kongsvinger

Attack 1.94 +94%
Defence 1.06 +6%

Sandnes ULF

Attack 0.88 -12%
Defence 1.21 +21%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Kongsvinger vs Sandnes ULF: result vs prediction

Kongsvinger 4 – 0 Sandnes ULF

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 27 fixtures

Norway 1. Division

Before and after this match

Kongsvinger vs Sandnes ULF markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Kongsvinger 74.7% 1.34 +13.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 93.6% 1.07 — —
Both teams to score Yes 76.9% 1.30 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 89.1% 1.12 — —
Handicap -1 Kongsvinger win 72.4% 1.38 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Kongsvinger74.7%
Draw14.4%
Sandnes ULF10.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.593.6%
Under 2.56.4%
Both teams to scoreYes76.9%
No23.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)89.1%
12 (either side)85.6%
X2 (draw or away)25.3%
Handicap -1Kongsvinger win72.4%
Push (exactly one goal)12.5%
Loss15.1%
Correct score (top 3)4-16.4%
5-15.7%
3-15.7%

Kongsvinger vs Sandnes ULF stats

Kongsvinger and Sandnes ULF recent form

newest first
Kongsvinger LWWWWD
Sandnes ULF LDDLWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Kongsvinger and Sandnes ULF going into this match

league record before kick-off

Kongsvinger record

  • They have won 17 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 3.0 goals per match.
  • They average 3.9 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).

Sandnes ULF record

  • They have won 7 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 26 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Kongsvinger vs Sandnes ULF head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

7Kongsvinger wins 1Draws 2Sandnes ULF wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-07-26Sandnes ULFKongsvingerNorway 1. Division1-6
2024-08-27KongsvingerSandnes ULF1. Division1-0
2024-05-27Sandnes ULFKongsvinger1. Division0-2
2023-10-29KongsvingerSandnes ULF1. Division4-0
2023-05-03Sandnes ULFKongsvinger1. Division1-2
2022-11-03Sandnes ULFKongsvinger1. Division0-1
2022-10-17KongsvingerSandnes ULF1. Division3-1
2022-04-19Sandnes ULFKongsvinger1. Division4-1
2020-11-08KongsvingerSandnes ULF1. Division1-1
2020-09-08Sandnes ULFKongsvinger1. Division1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Kongsvinger vs Sandnes ULF odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 71.0%, draw 16.4%, away 12.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.30 5.65 7.65
Bet365 1.28 5.50 6.50
BetVictor 1.30 5.75 7.50
Betano 1.31 5.60 7.20
Betfair 1.25 5.50 7.50
Dafabet 1.31 5.80 7.00
Marathonbet 1.28 5.65 7.60
Pinnacle 1.32 6.04 7.67
SBO 1.29 5.03 5.90
William Hill 1.30 5.00 6.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.30 ▲ +0.01
X 5.65 ▼ -0.25
2 7.55 ▼ -0.26

7 snapshots recorded, from .