Stromsgodset
vs
Kongsvinger
Garuda Lions Prediction: Stromsgodset
2 – 1 Predicted score · 6% model probability
Stromsgodset vs Kongsvinger overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Stromsgodset vs Kongsvinger
| Probability | Stromsgodset | Draw | Kongsvinger |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41.4% | 20.5% | 38.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 41.4% | 20.5% | 38.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Stromsgodset
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.
Stromsgodset vs Kongsvinger match preview
Stromsgodset faces Kongsvinger in a matchup where both teams have shown strong recent form. Stromsgodset has recorded four wins and a draw in their last six matches, while Kongsvinger has achieved three wins and two draws in the same period. The model gives Stromsgodset a 41% chance of winning, with Kongsvinger at 38% and a draw at 21%. The expected goals are closely matched, with Stromsgodset at 2.29 and Kongsvinger at 2.20.
The model predicts a likely scoreline of 2-1 in favor of Stromsgodset, which aligns with the high probability of over 2.5 goals at 83% and both teams scoring at 81%. In their last head-to-head encounter, there was one draw, indicating a competitive matchup ahead.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Stromsgodset and Kongsvinger expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.50
Stromsgodset and Kongsvinger attack and defence ratings
Stromsgodset
Kongsvinger
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 26 fixtures
Before and after this match
Stromsgodset vs Kongsvinger markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stromsgodset | 41.4% | 2.41 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 82.6% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 80.5% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 79.5% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.6% | 1.71 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stromsgodset | 41.4% |
| Draw | 20.5% | |
| Kongsvinger | 38.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 82.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 17.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 80.5% |
| No | 19.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 62.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Stromsgodset win | 24.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.9% | |
| Loss | 58.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-2 | 7.1% |
| 2-1 | 6.5% | |
| 1-2 | 6.2% |
Stromsgodset vs Kongsvinger stats
Stromsgodset and Kongsvinger recent form
| Stromsgodset |
WWWWDW |
| Kongsvinger |
WWWDWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Stromsgodset and Kongsvinger season so far
Stromsgodset record
- They have won 14 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
Kongsvinger record
- They have won 15 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 3.0 goals per match.
- They average 3.8 goals per game at home against 2.1 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
Stromsgodset vs Kongsvinger head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-21 | Kongsvinger | Stromsgodset | Norway 1. Division | 4-4 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.