Norway 1. Division · Full time ·Matchday 26

Stromsgodset vs Kongsvinger

5 – 1 Full time

3′H. Stengel
18′S. Pingel
31′S. Pingel
38′E. NielsenM. Gjerstrom
38′M. FloresA. Chaminta
42′S. Pingel
46′R. ChristiansenE. Olawore
52′V. Fors
66′L. LangrekkenG. Johnson
66′O. EnersenL. Vilsvik
66′E. MelkersenM. Mehnert
76′K. KrasniqiA. Heredia-Randen
76′S. PingelE. Ingebrethsen
79′M. Mehnert
82′K. AntonsenG. Wikheim
87′F. ChristensenS. Elmi
88′G. Johnson
88′Stromsgodset
88′G. Johnson

Marienlyst Stadion, DrammenReferee: H. Sletner

Stromsgodset 51%
Draw 21%
Kongsvinger 28%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Stromsgodset vs Kongsvinger overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Stromsgodset vs Kongsvinger

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityStromsgodsetDrawKongsvinger
Model45.4%19.9%34.8%
Market52.4%21.8%25.9%
Final50.6%21.3%28.1%
Edge-1.8%-0.5%+2.2%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Stromsgodset ↓ / Kongsvinger → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 6% 4% 4% 2 6% 7% 5% 5% 3 5% 6% 4% 4% 4+ 6% 6% 5% 4%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 99%
2+ goals 95%
3+ goals 85%
No goals 1%

Stromsgodset and Kongsvinger expected goals

Stromsgodset 2.49
Kongsvinger 2.19

Total expected goals: 4.68

Stromsgodset and Kongsvinger attack and defence ratings

Stromsgodset

Attack 1.47 +47%
Defence 0.65 -35%

Kongsvinger

Attack 2.10 +110%
Defence 0.90 -10%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Stromsgodset vs Kongsvinger: result vs prediction

Stromsgodset 5 – 1 Kongsvinger

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 26 fixtures

Norway 1. Division

Before and after this match

Stromsgodset vs Kongsvinger markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Stromsgodset 50.6% 1.98 -1.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 84.5% 1.18 — —
Both teams to score Yes 81.9% 1.22 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 78.7% 1.27 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 54.6% 1.83 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Stromsgodset50.6%
Draw21.3%
Kongsvinger28.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.584.5%
Under 2.515.5%
Both teams to scoreYes81.9%
No18.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)71.9%
12 (either side)78.7%
X2 (draw or away)49.4%
Handicap -1Stromsgodset win28.1%
Push (exactly one goal)17.3%
Loss54.6%
Correct score (top 3)2-26.9%
2-16.3%
3-25.7%

Stromsgodset vs Kongsvinger stats

Stromsgodset and Kongsvinger recent form

newest first
Stromsgodset WWWWWD
Kongsvinger WWWWDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Stromsgodset and Kongsvinger going into this match

league record before kick-off

Stromsgodset record

  • They have won 16 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 25 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).

Kongsvinger record

  • They have won 17 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 3.0 goals per match.
  • They average 3.9 goals per game at home against 2.1 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 25 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).

Stromsgodset vs Kongsvinger head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

0Stromsgodset wins 2Draws 0Kongsvinger wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-06-21KongsvingerStromsgodsetNorway 1. Division4-4
2023-02-18KongsvingerStromsgodsetFriendlies Clubs2-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Stromsgodset vs Kongsvinger odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 52.4%, draw 21.8%, away 25.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.75 4.25 3.68
Bet365 1.75 4.33 3.60
BetVictor 1.75 4.40 3.60
Betano 1.78 4.20 3.55
Betfair 1.75 4.20 3.30
Dafabet 1.83 4.30 3.45
Marathonbet 1.73 4.25 3.68
Pinnacle 1.81 4.40 3.68
SBO 1.80 4.00 3.12
William Hill 1.80 3.90 3.40

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.77 ▼ -0.04
X 4.25 ▲ +0.05
2 3.58 ▲ +0.18

6 snapshots recorded, from .