Sogndal
vs
ODD Ballklubb
Garuda Lions Prediction: ODD Ballklubb
1 – 2 Predicted score · 7% model probability
Sogndal vs ODD Ballklubb overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sogndal vs ODD Ballklubb
| Probability | Sogndal | Draw | ODD Ballklubb |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 29.4% | 20.0% | 50.7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 29.4% | 20.0% | 50.7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why ODD Ballklubb
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.53 vs 1.94.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Sogndal vs ODD Ballklubb match preview
Sogndal will face ODD Ballklubb in an upcoming match with kickoff set for October 14, 2026. According to our model, ODD Ballklubb has a 51% probability of winning, while Sogndal stands at 29% and a draw is at 20%. The expected goals for Sogndal are 1.94, compared to ODD Ballklubb's 2.53, indicating a potential advantage for the visitors. The most likely scoreline is predicted to be 1-2, occurring at a rate of 7%.
In terms of recent form, Sogndal has struggled with a record of L-D-D-L-L-D, while ODD Ballklubb has performed well, winning three of their last five matches. The model suggests a high likelihood of goals, with an 82% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 79% probability that both teams will score. The confidence grade for this match is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Sogndal and ODD Ballklubb expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.47
Sogndal and ODD Ballklubb attack and defence ratings
Sogndal
ODD Ballklubb
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 26 fixtures
Before and after this match
Sogndal vs ODD Ballklubb markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | ODD Ballklubb | 50.7% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 82.3% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 79.4% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 80.0% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.3% | 2.03 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sogndal | 29.4% |
| Draw | 20.0% | |
| ODD Ballklubb | 50.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 82.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 17.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 79.4% |
| No | 20.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 49.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 70.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | ODD Ballklubb win | 32.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.3% | |
| Loss | 49.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-2 | 7.1% |
| 2-2 | 6.9% | |
| 1-1 | 6.2% |
Sogndal vs ODD Ballklubb stats
Sogndal and ODD Ballklubb recent form
| Sogndal |
LDDLLD |
| ODD Ballklubb |
WWWLDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Sogndal and ODD Ballklubb season so far
Sogndal record
- They have won 6 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.1 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 22 matches.
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
ODD Ballklubb record
- They have won 10 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 23 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
Sogndal vs ODD Ballklubb head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-06 | ODD Ballklubb | Sogndal | Norway 1. Division | 4-0 |
| 2025-11-01 | ODD Ballklubb | Sogndal | Norway 1. Division | 1-4 |
| 2025-04-28 | Sogndal | ODD Ballklubb | Norway 1. Division | 3-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.