Norway 1. Division · Full time ·Matchday 27

Egersund vs Sogndal

3 – 3 Full time

7′E. Hovland
17′K. Arierhi
28′R. Gyamfi
30′N. Tornvig
46′L. GausdalV. Hagen
46′M. OrenP. Asp
46′E. HovlandF. Flo
47′K. Arierhi
58′J. GregersenS. Vatne
72′R. GyamfiB. Baxter
72′S. R. MichalsenH. Hardarson
74′V. Hagen
77′T. PippolaL. Vapne
78′K. ArierhiO. Helen
80′P. Asp
82′F. Flo
86′B. MaelandP. Hovland
86′K. EggenJ. Jorgensen
90′J. Haruna
90′H. Kleppa

XL-BYGG Sorvest ArenaReferee: M. Koloy

Egersund 48%
Draw 23%
Sogndal 29%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Egersund vs Sogndal overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Egersund vs Sogndal

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityEgersundDrawSogndal
Model37.9%25.6%36.5%
Market52.0%22.1%25.9%
Final48.5%23.0%28.6%
Edge-14.1%+3.5%+10.5%

Confidence: Low

Why Egersund

  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Egersund ↓ / Sogndal → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 12% 8% 2 8% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 84%
3+ goals 61%
No goals 5%

Egersund and Sogndal expected goals

Egersund 1.60
Sogndal 1.57

Total expected goals: 3.17

Egersund and Sogndal attack and defence ratings

Egersund

Attack 0.87 -13%
Defence 1.09 +9%

Sogndal

Attack 0.90 -10%
Defence 0.98 -2%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Egersund vs Sogndal: result vs prediction

Egersund 3 – 3 Sogndal

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 27 fixtures

Norway 1. Division

Before and after this match

Egersund vs Sogndal markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Egersund 48.5% 2.06 -14.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 61.4% 1.63 — —
Both teams to score Yes 64.3% 1.56 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 77.0% 1.30 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 62.1% 1.61 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Egersund48.5%
Draw23.0%
Sogndal28.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.561.4%
Under 2.538.6%
Both teams to scoreYes64.3%
No35.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)71.4%
12 (either side)77.0%
X2 (draw or away)51.5%
Handicap -1Egersund win19.4%
Push (exactly one goal)18.5%
Loss62.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.6%
2-18.4%
1-28.3%

Egersund vs Sogndal stats

Egersund and Sogndal recent form

newest first
Egersund DWLLWD
Sogndal LLLDDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Egersund and Sogndal going into this match

league record before kick-off

Egersund record

  • They have won 9 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 26 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).

Sogndal record

  • They have won 6 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 25 matches.
  • 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Egersund vs Sogndal head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

1Egersund wins 1Draws 3Sogndal wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-06-27SogndalEgersundNorway 1. Division4-2
2025-10-25SogndalEgersundNorway 1. Division0-1
2025-05-25EgersundSogndalNorway 1. Division0-2
2024-08-03EgersundSogndal1. Division0-2
2024-06-09SogndalEgersund1. Division2-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Egersund vs Sogndal odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 50.8%, draw 22.8%, away 26.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.80 4.15 3.54
Bet365 1.75 3.80 3.50
BetVictor 1.75 4.20 3.70
Betano 2.05 3.90 3.00
Betfair 1.95 4.00 2.90
Dafabet 2.05 3.95 2.95
Marathonbet 1.78 4.15 3.54
Pinnacle 1.79 4.50 3.69
SBO 1.94 3.65 2.77
William Hill 1.75 4.00 3.40

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.77 ▼ -0.25
X 4.15 ▲ +0.15
2 3.54 ▲ +0.59

7 snapshots recorded, from .