Moss
vs
Egersund
0 – 0 Full time
| 46′ | O. AgaT. Usman | ||
| 46′ | J. S. SelnaesN. Alexandersson | ||
| 63′ | B. BaxterH. Tadesse | ||
| 63′ | N. TornvigH. Hardarson | ||
| 64′ | M. NjieM. Njie | ||
| 64′ | J. MusbaudeenR. Hermanstad | ||
| 73′ | S. R. MichalsenP. Hovland | ||
| 73′ | J. EkelandR. Gyamfi |
Moss vs Egersund overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Moss vs Egersund
| Probability | Moss | Draw | Egersund |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48.0% | 22.8% | 29.2% |
| Market | 43.9% | 24.3% | 31.8% |
| Final | 44.9% | 23.9% | 31.2% |
| Edge | +1.0% | -0.4% | -0.7% |
Why Moss
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.08 vs 1.61.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Moss and Egersund expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.69
Moss and Egersund attack and defence ratings
Moss
Egersund
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Moss vs Egersund: result vs prediction
Moss 0 – 0 Egersund
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 26 fixtures
Before and after this match
Moss vs Egersund markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Moss | 44.9% | 2.23 | +1.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.2% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 70.8% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.1% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.0% | 1.92 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Moss | 44.9% |
| Draw | 23.9% | |
| Egersund | 31.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 28.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 70.8% |
| No | 29.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Moss win | 28.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.5% | |
| Loss | 52.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.2% |
| 2-1 | 8.7% | |
| 2-2 | 7.0% |
Moss vs Egersund stats
Moss and Egersund recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Moss and Egersund going into this match
Moss record
- They have won 8 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 25 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Egersund record
- They have won 9 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 25 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).
Moss vs Egersund head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | Egersund | Moss | Norway 1. Division | 3-0 |
| 2025-10-22 | Egersund | Moss | Norway 1. Division | 2-0 |
| 2025-06-28 | Moss | Egersund | Norway 1. Division | 2-4 |
| 2024-08-26 | Egersund | Moss | 1. Division | 3-2 |
| 2024-04-27 | Moss | Egersund | 1. Division | 1-2 |
| 2022-10-08 | Egersund | Moss | 2. Division - Group 1 | 2-2 |
| 2022-06-26 | Moss | Egersund | 2. Division - Group 1 | 2-0 |
| 2019-08-11 | Moss | Egersund | 2. Division - Group 1 | 6-2 |
| 2019-04-28 | Egersund | Moss | 2. Division - Group 1 | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Moss vs Egersund odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 43.9%, draw 24.3%, away 31.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.11 | 3.82 | 2.91 |
| Bet365 | 2.15 | 3.75 | 2.90 |
| BetVictor | 2.10 | 3.90 | 2.90 |
| Betano | 2.12 | 3.70 | 2.95 |
| Betfair | 2.05 | 3.80 | 2.80 |
| Dafabet | 2.14 | 3.80 | 2.95 |
| Marathonbet | 2.09 | 3.82 | 2.89 |
| Pinnacle | 2.17 | 3.96 | 2.99 |
| SBO | 2.01 | 3.64 | 2.80 |
| William Hill | 2.10 | 3.50 | 2.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
6 snapshots recorded, from .